Rockets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 3

The Dallas Mavericks (12-23) aim to halt a four-game losing skid when hosting the Houston Rockets (21-10) on January 3, 2026 at American Airlines Center. Saturday's matchup between the Rockets and the Mavericks features the Rockets as solid 8-point favorites. The over/under is 227.5 points for the game.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Rockets-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: SCHN and KFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Rockets vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 8)
O/U Pick: Over (227.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 121 - Mavericks 111

Rockets vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• Of 31 games so far this season, the Rockets have played 19 with more than 227.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• The Mavericks have played in 20 games this year (57.1% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 227.5 points.
• These two teams average 234.1 points per game combined, 6.6 more than the over/under of 227.5.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.9 more points per game (229.4) than this game's total of 227.5 points.
• Houston has been chosen as the favorite in 29 games this year and has walked away with the win 20 times (69%) in those games.
• Dallas has won in eight, or 33.3%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Houston and Dallas have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
• The Mavericks have a 2-0 record against the spread when playing the Rockets.
• Versus the point spread, the Mavericks have failed to cover in four consecutive games, and were favored in one of those games.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Houston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 227.5 points in its last 10 games, identical to the over/under listed in this matchup.
• The Rockets have played 31 games, with 18 wins against the spread.
• Houston has an ATS record of 8-6 in its 14 games as a favorite of 8 points or more so far this season.
• The Rockets have eclipsed the over/under in 51.4% of their opportunities this year (18 times in 35 games with a set point total).
• The Rockets average 120.5 points per game, only 2.6 more points than the 117.9 the Mavericks give up.
• When Houston puts up more than 117.9 points, it is 12-5 against the spread and 12-5 overall.
• The Rockets make 49.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.1 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (46.3%).
• The Rockets have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered six times in 12 games when playing at home, and they've covered 12 times in 19 games on the road.
• Houston has exceeded the total in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than road tilts (63.2%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Rockets have picked up the win in 10 of 12 games at home, good for a .833 winning percentage. They have won 10 of 17 games on the road (.588) as a moneyline favorite.

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun puts up 22.6 points, 9.3 rebounds and 6.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals (10th in NBA) and 1 block.
• Kevin Durant puts up 25.4 points, 5 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game, shooting 52.2% from the floor and 43% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Amen Thompson puts up 18 points, 5.3 assists and 7.3 rebounds per game.
• Jabari Smith Jr. puts up 15.8 points, 6.9 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 38.3% from downtown with 2.3 made treys per contest.
• Reed Sheppard posts 13.5 points, 2.9 boards and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 45.5% from the field and 42% from beyond the arc with 2.6 made 3-pointers per contest.

Rockets Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have two wins against the spread, and are 3-7 overall, in their past 10 contests.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 4.7 points greater than the 227.5 total listed for this matchup.
• The Mavericks have 14 wins against the spread in 35 games this year.
• This season, Dallas has an ATS record of 5-4 in its nine games as an underdog of 8 points or more.
• Mavericks games this season have hit the over on 18 of 35 set point totals (51.4%).
• The Mavericks' 113.6 points per game are just 2.1 more points than the 111.5 the Rockets allow to opponents.
• Dallas has put together a 9-9-1 ATS record and a 10-9 overall record in games it scores more than 111.5 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 46.9% from the field, 0.6% higher than the 46.3% the Rockets' opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks have been better at home (9-9-1) than away (5-11-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Dallas' games have finished over nine of 19 times at home (47.4%), and nine of 16 on the road (56.2%).
• In 2025-26 when moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have a better winning percentage at home (.429, 3-4 record) than away (.250, 1-3).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Cooper Flagg gives the Mavericks 19.2 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• The Mavericks are getting 15.2 points, 7.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from P.J. Washington this year.
• The Mavericks are getting 13.3 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Naji Marshall this season.
• Anthony Davis gets the Mavericks 20.1 points, 10.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest while putting up 1.2 steals and 1.5 blocked shots.
• Brandon Williams is averaging 11.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4 assists per game. He is draining 41.8% of his shots from the floor.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Dallas Mavericks

Houston Rockets