Rockets vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 27

The Houston Rockets (18-10) will host the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-15) after victories in three home games in a row. Saturday's matchup between the Rockets and the Cavaliers features the Rockets as 4-point favorites. The game's point total is 234.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Rockets-Cavaliers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Rockets vs. Cavaliers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: SCHN and FDSOH
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Rockets vs. Cavaliers Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (- 4)
O/U Pick: Over (234.5)
Score Prediction: Rockets 123 - Cavaliers 112

Rockets vs. Cavaliers Betting Insights

• Of 28 games thus far this season, the Rockets have played 11 with over 234.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• This year, 16 of the Cavaliers' 32 games have had a combined total of more than 234.5 points scored.
• These teams average 240.7 points per game combined, 6.2 more than the total of 234.5.
• The Rockets and the Cavaliers have seen their opponents average a combined 4.6 fewer points per game than the over/under of 234.5 set in this outing.
• Houston has been chosen as the favorite in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (65.4%) in those games.
• Cleveland has been chosen as underdogs in four games this year and has walked away with the win one time (25%) in those games.
• In the last one head-to-head meetings, Houston has a 1-0 record against Cleveland.
• The Rockets have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when taking the court against the Cavaliers.

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their last 10 games.
• Houston's average total over the last 10 games is 7.0 points fewer than the 234.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• In the Rockets' 28 games this season, they have 16 wins against the spread.
• Houston has an ATS record of 11-10 in its 21 games as a favorite of 4 points or more so far this season.
• Rockets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 53.1% of the time (17 out of 32 games with a set point total).
• The Rockets record only 2.7 more points per game (120.5) than the Cavaliers give up (117.8).
• Houston is 11-4 against the spread and 10-5 overall when scoring more than 117.8 points.
• This season, the Rockets have a 48.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.1% higher than the 46.8% of shots the Cavaliers' opponents have made.
• The Rockets own a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-5-0) than they do in away games (11-7-0).
• Houston has eclipsed the over/under less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in five of 10 home matchups (50%). In road games, it has hit the over in 12 of 18 games (66.7%).
• The Rockets have played better as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 8-2, compared to going 9-7 in road games.

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Alperen Sengun puts up 22.7 points, 9.4 rebounds and 6.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.5 steals (10th in NBA) and 1.0 block.
• Amen Thompson puts up 17.9 points, 7.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest, shooting 51.0% from the floor.
• Kevin Durant puts up 25.2 points, 5.0 boards and 4.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.0 block.
• Jabari Smith Jr. averages 15.7 points, 1.9 assists and 6.8 rebounds.
• Reed Sheppard posts 13.3 points, 3.0 rebounds and 3.3 assists per contest, shooting 45.5% from the field and 43.0% from beyond the arc with 2.6 made 3-pointers per game.

Rockets Player Props

Cavaliers Recent Trends

• The Cavaliers are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Cleveland and its opponents have combined to score an average of 239.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.9 more than the 234.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Cavaliers are 11-21-0 against the spread this year.
• Cleveland has always covered the spread this season when underdogs by 4 points or more.
• The Cavaliers have gone over the point total 50% of the time this year (16 of 32 games with a set point total).
• The Cavaliers put up an average of 120.2 points per game, 8.1 more points than the 112.1 the Rockets allow.
• When it scores more than 112.1 points, Cleveland is 11-11 against the spread and 16-6 overall.
• The Cavaliers are shooting 46.5% from the field, 0.1% higher than the 46.4% the Rockets' opponents have shot this season.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Cavaliers have a lower winning percentage at home (.316, 6-13-0 record) than away (.385, 5-8-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Cleveland's games have gone over less frequently at home (seven of 19, 36.8%) than on the road (nine of 13, 69.2%).
• As moneyline favorites, the Cavaliers have won a higher percentage of games at home (11-7) than on the road (5-5).

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Cavaliers Leaders

• Donovan Mitchell is putting up 30.7 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.4 assists per contest. He's also sinking 49.9% of his shots from the floor and 39.0% from beyond the arc, with 4.0 triples per game (second in NBA).
• On a per-game basis, Evan Mobley gives the Cavaliers 18.9 points, 9.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 1.6 blocked shots (fourth in NBA).
• Jaylon Tyson gets the Cavaliers 13.1 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest while averaging 1.0 steal and 0.6 blocked shots.
• De'Andre Hunter is averaging 15.3 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He is making 43.4% of his shots from the floor and 31.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per game.
• The Cavaliers are receiving 13.6 points, 7.5 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Jarrett Allen this season.

Cavaliers Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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