Pacers vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Picks - March 1

The Indiana Pacers (15-45) will attempt to halt a five-game losing streak when hosting the Memphis Grizzlies (22-36) on March 1, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Sunday's matchup between the Pacers and the Grizzlies features the Pacers as slim 1-point favorites. The game has an over/under of 237.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Pacers-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Pacers vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
• TV: FDSIN and FDSSE
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Pacers vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 1)
O/U Pick: Under (237.5)
Score Prediction: Grizzlies 117 - Pacers 115

Pacers vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights

• This year, the Pacers games have finished over 237.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 21 (out of 60) times.
• This season, 21 of the Grizzlies' 58 games have had a combined total higher than 237.5 points scored.
• The Pacers and the Grizzlies combine to average 10.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 237.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 237.4 points per game, 0.1 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
• Indiana has won three of the 10 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Memphis has been chosen as underdogs in 39 games this year and has walked away with the win 10 times (25.6%) in those games.
• Memphis holds a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head matchups against Indiana.
• The Grizzlies also have a 1-0 record against the spread when playing the Pacers.
• The Pacers have been the favorites in two of their past five contests, and came up short against the spread in all five.

Pacers Recent Trends

• The Pacers have covered the spread twice, and are 2-8 overall, in their last 10 games.
• Indiana's average total over the last 10 games is 9.4 points fewer than the 237.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Pacers are 28-32-0 against the spread this year.
• Indiana has been favored by 1 point or more 10 times this season and are 3-7 ATS in those matchups.
• Pacers games this year have hit the over on 27 of 58 set point totals.
• The 111.5 points per game the Pacers record are 6.4 fewer points than the Grizzlies give up (117.9).
• When Indiana scores more than 117.9 points, it is 9-8 against the spread and 7-10 overall.
• The Pacers make 45.0% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.1 percentage points lower than the Grizzlies have allowed to their opponents (47.1%).
• At home, the Pacers own a better record against the spread (17-14-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (11-18-0).
• Indiana has gone over the over/under more often when playing at home, hitting the over in 16 of 31 home matchups (51.6%). On the road, it has hit the over in 11 of 29 games (37.9%).
• The Pacers have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 3-4 (.429). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 0-3 (.000).

Pacers Recent Stats

Pacers Leaders

• Pascal Siakam averages 23.9 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Andrew Nembhard puts up 17.4 points, 7.4 assists and 2.8 rebounds per game.
• Jarace Walker puts up 10.9 points, 2.3 assists and 4.9 rebounds per game.
• Jay Huff posts 8.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 47.0% from the floor and 30.7% from beyond the arc with 1.4 made treys per contest.
• T.J. McConnell averages 9.5 points, 4.7 assists and 2.2 boards.

Pacers Player Props

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies have gone 3-7 in their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Memphis' average total over the last 10 games is 4.8 points fewer than the 237.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Grizzlies are 26-31-1 this season.
• Memphis has been underdogs by 1 point or more 38 times this year and are 16-21-1 ATS in those matchups.
• Grizzlies games this season have eclipsed the over/under 28 times in 58 opportunities (48.3%).
• The Grizzlies put up an average of 115.6 points per game, only 3.9 fewer points than the 119.5 the Pacers give up to opponents.
• Memphis is 12-8 against the spread and 12-8 overall when it scores more than 119.5 points.
• The Grizzlies have shot at a 46.1% clip from the field this season, 2.7 percentage points less than the 48.8% shooting opponents of the Pacers have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Grizzlies have had better results away (14-14-1) than at home (12-17-0) .
• Looking at the over/under, Memphis' games have finished over more frequently at home (16 of 29, 55.2%) than away (12 of 29, 41.4%).
• The Grizzlies' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .571 (8-6), and on the road it is .800 (4-1).

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Cam Spencer is averaging 11.4 points, 2.6 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. He's also sinking 47.5% of his shots from the field and 44.0% from 3-point range (seventh in NBA), with 2.1 triples per game.
• The Grizzlies are receiving 13.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Cedric Coward this year.
• Santi Aldama is averaging 14.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game. He is sinking 47.9% of his shots from the field and 35.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per game.
• Jaylen Wells is averaging 12.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. He is making 42.0% of his shots from the field and 34.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 triples per contest.
• Walter Clayton Jr. gets the Grizzlies 7.0 points, 2.0 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest while posting 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Grizzlies Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.