Nuggets vs. Lakers prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 20

Nuggets vs. Lakers prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 20

Updated Apr. 20, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

The Denver Nuggets will play the Los Angeles Lakers in Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. Denver is a solid 6.5-point favorite against Los Angeles when the Nuggets face off against the Lakers on Saturday. The game has a point total of 227.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Lakers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: ABC
Nuggets vs Lakers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Nuggets -6.5 -110 -110 227 -110 -110 -258 +210

Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (227)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 119 - Lakers 111

Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Nuggets games have finished over 227 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 33 (out of 82) times.
  • The Lakers games have gone over 227 total points scored in 56 of 82 total matchups this season.
  • Between them, these two teams average 5.9 more points per game (232.9) than this matchup's total (227).
  • The Nuggets and the Lakers have seen their opponents average a combined 227 points per game, the same as the point total set for this game.
  • Denver has been the favorite in 72 games this season and has come away with the win 53 times (73.6%) in those contests.
  • Los Angeles has been victorious in 15, or 41.7%, of the 36 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • Denver has a 3-0 record in the last three head-to-head matchups with Los Angeles.
  • The Nuggets have an advantage against the spread as well (3-0) when taking the court against the Lakers.
FINAL
LAL 103 · DEN 114
NBA
SPREAD
TO WIN
TOTAL
Los Angeles Lakers
LAL
Denver Nuggets
DEN

Nuggets Recent Trends

  • The Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests.
  • Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 220.1 points over its last 10 games, 6.9 less than the 227 over/under in this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-42-1 this season.
  • Denver has an ATS record of 20-19 in its 39 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more so far this season.
  • Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in 34 out of 82 opportunities (41.5%).
  • The 114.9 points per game the Nuggets record are just 2.5 fewer points than the Lakers allow (117.4).
  • Denver is 23-8 against the spread and 28-4 overall when scoring more than 117.4 points.
  • The Nuggets are shooting 49.6% from the field this season, 2.2 percentage points higher than the 47.4% the Lakers allow to opponents.
  • When playing at home, the Nuggets have a better record against the spread (21-19-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (17-23-1).
  • Denver has exceeded the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (43.9%) than road tilts (39%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Nuggets have picked up the win in 32 of 40 games when playing at home, good for a .800 winning percentage. They have won 21 of 32 games away from home (.656) as a moneyline favorite.

Nuggets Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 114.9 14
Points Allowed 109.6 6
Rebounds 44.4 7
Assists 29.5 3
Steals 7.1 21
Blocks 5.6 9

Nuggets Leaders

  • Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9 assists per contest, shooting 58.3% from the floor (10th in league) and 35.9% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made treys per game.
  • Michael Porter Jr. posts 16.7 points, 7 boards and 1.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocks.
  • Jamal Murray posts 21.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game, shooting 48.1% from the floor and 42.5% from downtown (10th in league) with 2.5 made treys per contest.
  • Aaron Gordon posts 13.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks.
  • Reggie Jackson puts up 10.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 43.1% from the floor and 35.9% from downtown with 1.2 made treys per contest.

Nuggets Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
Nikola Jokic 27.5 -102 26.4
Jamal Murray 24.5 +105 21.2
Michael Porter Jr. 16.5 -135 16.7
Aaron Gordon 13.5 -120 13.9
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 10.5 +102 10.1

Lakers Recent Trends

  • The Lakers have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 games.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.8 more than the 227 over/under in this matchup.
  • In the Lakers' 82 games this year, they have 37 wins against the spread.
  • Los Angeles has been underdogs by 6.5 points or more five times this season and are 3-2 ATS in those contests.
  • Lakers games this year have hit the over on 46 of 82 set point totals (56.1%).
  • The Lakers' 118 points per game are 8.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets give up.
  • Los Angeles has put together a 31-27 ATS record and a 39-20 overall record in games it scores more than 109.6 points.
  • The Lakers are shooting 49.9% from the field, 3.7% higher than the 46.2% the Nuggets' opponents have shot this season.
  • The Lakers have performed better against the spread at home (20-22-0) than away (17-22-0) this season.
  • Los Angeles' games have finished above the over/under less often at home (21 times out of 42) than away (25 of 40) this year.
  • This season the Lakers are 23-7 at home when moneyline favorites (.767 winning percentage). On the road they are 9-7 (.562).

Lakers Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 118 6
Points Allowed 117.4 23
Rebounds 43.1 18
Assists 28.5 5
Steals 7.4 18
Blocks 5.5 11

Lakers Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Anthony Davis gives the Lakers 24.7 points, 12.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 2.3 blocked shots (fourth in league).
  • On a per-game basis, LeBron James gives the Lakers 25.7 points, 7.3 rebounds and 8.3 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • D'Angelo Russell is putting up 18 points, 3.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game. He is making 45.6% of his shots from the field and 41.5% from 3-point range, with 3 triples per contest (ninth in NBA).
  • Austin Reaves is averaging 15.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.5 assists per contest. He is draining 48.6% of his shots from the floor and 36.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per game.
  • Spencer Dinwiddie is putting up 10.5 points, 2.7 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game. He is sinking 39.2% of his shots from the field and 33.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 treys per contest.

Lakers Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG (Reg. Season)
LeBron James 24.5 -120 25.7
Anthony Davis 23.5 -130 24.7
Austin Reaves 15.5 +110 15.9
D'Angelo Russell 15.5 -108 18.0
Rui Hachimura 13.5 +100 13.6

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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