Heat vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 9

The Miami Heat (28-26) take the court against the Utah Jazz (16-37) on February 9, 2026 on FDSSUN, KJZZ, and Jazz+. Monday's matchup between the Heat and the Jazz sees the Heat as a solid, 6.5-point favorite. The over/under is 239.5 points for the game.

Here is everything you need to know about the Heat-Jazz game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Jazz Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, February 9, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN, KJZZ, and Jazz+
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Jazz Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 6.5)
O/U Pick: Over (239.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 127 - Jazz 114

Heat vs. Jazz Betting Insights

• This year, the Heat games have finished over 239.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 25 (out of 54) times.
• This year, 31 of the Jazz's 53 games have had a combined total higher than 239.5 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 1.5 fewer points per game, 238, than this game's over/under of 239.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.5 more points per game, 244, than this matchup's over/under of 239.5 points.
• Miami has been victorious in 16, or 61.5%, of the 26 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Utah has won in 12, or 25.5%, of the 47 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• After the last one head-to-head matchups, Miami has a 1-0 record against Utah.
• The Heat also have a 1-0 edge against the spread when playing the Jazz.
• Against the point spread, the Jazz have covered in four consecutive games, and were the favorite in one of those contests.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their past 10 games.
• Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 234.5 points in its last 10 games, 5.0 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Heat have played 54 games, with 31 wins against the spread.
• Miami has been favored by 6.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 7-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Heat games this year have gone over the total in 28 out of 53 opportunities (52.8%).
• The Heat put up 119.7 points per game, 7.0 fewer points than the 126.7 the Jazz give up.
• Miami has a 15-2 record against the spread and a 14-2 record overall when putting up more than 126.7 points.
• The Heat are shooting 46.3% from the field this season, 2.8 percentage points lower than the 49.1% the Jazz allow to opponents.
• When playing at home, the Heat own a worse record against the spread (14-12-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (17-10-1).
• When playing at home, Miami goes over the over/under 53.8% of the time (14 of 26 games). It has hit the over in 50% of road games (14 of 28 contests).
• The Heat have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 11-8 (.579). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 5-2 (.714).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo puts up 18.2 points, 9.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Norman Powell posts 23.0 points, 3.6 boards and 2.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 15.7 points, 2.8 assists and 5.0 boards per game.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 15.2 points, 5.4 boards and 4.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Kel'el Ware averages 11.3 points, 9.2 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest, shooting 53.4% from the field and 40.1% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.

Heat Player Props

Jazz Recent Trends

• The Jazz have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 2-8 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Utah and its opponents have combined to score an average of 237.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.4 less than the 239.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Jazz's 53 games this year, they have 29 wins against the spread.
• Utah is 18-15 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this season.
• Jazz games this season have eclipsed the over/under 32 times in 53 opportunities (60.4%).
• The Jazz average only 1.0 more point per game (118.3) than the Heat allow (117.3).
• Utah is 20-7 against the spread and 14-13 overall when it scores more than 117.3 points.
• The Jazz are shooting 46.8% from the field, 0.9% higher than the 45.9% the Heat's opponents have shot this season.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Jazz have a better winning percentage at home (.556, 15-12-0 record) than away (.538, 14-12-0).
• Utah's games have finished above the over/under 70.4% of the time at home (19 of 27), and 50% of the time on the road (13 of 26).
• The Jazz, as moneyline favorites, have won the same percentage of games at home (2-1) and on the road (2-1) this season.

Jazz Recent Stats

Jazz Leaders

• Lauri Markkanen delivers 27.1 points, 6.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game for the Jazz.
• On a per-game basis, Jaren Jackson Jr. gets the Jazz 19.3 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 1.5 blocked shots (10th in NBA).
• Jusuf Nurkic is averaging 11.0 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. He is sinking 50.1% of his shots from the floor.
• The Jazz are receiving 9.6 points, 6.6 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Kyle Filipowski this year.
• The Jazz are getting 10.2 points, 2.6 rebounds and 7.2 assists per game from Isaiah Collier this year.

Jazz Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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