Hawks vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 9

Hawks vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 9

Updated Jan. 9, 2026 9:26 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Atlanta Hawks (18-21) go up against the Denver Nuggets (25-12) on January 9, 2026. The matchup airs on FDSSE, ALT, WANF, and Peachtree Sports Network. Friday's matchup between the Hawks and the Nuggets features the Hawks as small 3-point favorites. The point total for the game is set at 229.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Hawks-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Hawks vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Friday, January 9, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: FDSSE, ALT, WANF, and Peachtree Sports Network
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Hawks vs Nuggets Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Hawks -3 -106 -114 229.5 -106 -114 -142 +120

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Hawks vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (+ 3)
O/U Pick: Over (229.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 124 - Hawks 116

Hawks vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

  • The Hawks and their opponent have combined to score over 229.5 points, the current matchup's point total, in 23 of 39 games this year.
  • The Nuggets have played in 28 games this season (75.7% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 229.5 points.
  • The Hawks and the Nuggets combine to average 13.0 more points per game than the over/under of 229.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 237.5 points per game, 8.0 more than the over/under for this matchup.
  • Atlanta has been chosen as the favorite in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (47.4%) in those games.
  • Denver has been victorious in five of the eight contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • Denver has won its lone head-to-head meeting with Atlanta.
  • The Hawks have an advantage against the spread (1-0) when taking on the Nuggets.

Hawks Recent Trends

  • The Hawks are 5-5 against the spread and 3-7 overall over their past 10 games.
  • Atlanta has averaged a total of 242.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 12.7 greater than this matchup's over/under of 229.5.
  • The Hawks are 19-20-0 against the spread this year.
  • This season, Atlanta has an ATS record of 4-9 in its 13 games as a favorite of 3 points or more.
  • The Hawks have gone over the point total in 56.8% of their opportunities this year (21 times over 37 games with a set point total).
  • The Hawks score only 0.3 more points per game (118.4) than the Nuggets give up (118.1).
  • Atlanta is 13-6 against the spread and 11-8 overall when scoring more than 118.1 points.
  • The Hawks are shooting 47.9% from the field this season, 0.7 percentage points higher than the 47.2% the Nuggets allow to opponents.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered seven times in 18 games when playing at home, and they've covered 12 times in 21 games when playing on the road.
  • Atlanta has gone over the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (44.4%) than away games (61.9%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Hawks have won a lower percentage of their games at home (.333) compared to away games (.600).

Hawks Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 118.4 11
Points Allowed 119.4 24
Rebounds 41.9 25
Assists 31.2 1
Steals 9.3 6
Blocks 4.8 15

Hawks Leaders

  • Jalen Johnson puts up 23.5 points, 10.3 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
  • Onyeka Okongwu posts 16.2 points, 3.2 assists and 7.8 boards per contest.
  • Dyson Daniels averages 11.7 points, 6.1 assists and 6.5 rebounds per contest.
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker averages 20.4 points, 3.3 assists and 3.5 boards.
  • Vit Krejci posts 10.5 points, 2.3 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 49.6% from the floor and 46.5% from beyond the arc (fourth in league) with 2.7 made treys per game.

Hawks Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Jalen Johnson 24.5 -102 23.5
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 20.5 -125 20.4
Onyeka Okongwu 17.5 +102 16.2
Kristaps Porzingis 13.5 -120 17.1
Dyson Daniels 12.5 -104 11.7

Nuggets Recent Trends

  • The Nuggets are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
  • Denver's average total over the last 10 games is 6.7 points greater than the 229.5 over/under given for this matchup.
  • The Nuggets have 22 wins against the spread in 37 games this year.
  • Denver has an ATS record of 4-0 in its four games when underdogs by 3 points or more this year.
  • Nuggets games this season have gone over the total in 24 of 37 opportunities (64.9%).
  • The Nuggets score only 4.7 more points per game (124.1) than the Hawks give up (119.4).
  • Denver has put together a 17-11 ATS record and a 20-8 overall record in games it scores more than 119.4 points.
  • The Nuggets are shooting 50.7% from the field, 3.0% higher than the 47.7% the Hawks' opponents have shot this season.
  • In 2025-26 against the spread, the Nuggets have a better winning percentage at home (.600, 9-6-0 record) than on the road (.591, 13-9-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Denver's games have finished over 10 of 15 times at home (66.7%), and 14 of 22 away (63.6%).
  • In 2025-26 when moneyline favorites, the Nuggets have a better winning percentage at home (.692, 9-4 record) than away (.688, 11-5).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 124.1 1
Points Allowed 118.1 22
Rebounds 43.2 23
Assists 29.1 4
Steals 7.0 29
Blocks 4.1 26

Nuggets Leaders

  • Jamal Murray generates 25.3 points, 4.7 rebounds and 7.5 assists per game for the Nuggets.
  • Peyton Watson is putting up 12.7 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He's sinking 51.3% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per contest.
  • The Nuggets are receiving 13.6 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Tim Hardaway Jr. this season.
  • Bruce Brown is putting up 7.3 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He is making 46.5% of his shots from the field.
  • Aaron Gordon gives the Nuggets 18.4 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest while averaging 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Nuggets Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Jamal Murray 26.5 -110 25.3
Peyton Watson 17.5 -125 12.7
Aaron Gordon 16.5 -114 18.4
Tim Hardaway Jr. 15.5 -104 13.6
Christian Braun 13.5 -104 10.2

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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