Cavaliers vs. Heat Game 1 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 20

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat are facing off in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 1 up next. The Cavaliers match up with the Heat in a game that Cleveland is currently a double-digit favorite by 12.5 points. A 214.5-point total has been set for the game.

Check out everything you need to know about the Cavaliers-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio
• TV:

Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Cavaliers (- 12.5)
O/U Pick: Over (214.5)
Score Prediction: Cavaliers 120 - Heat 107

Cavaliers vs. Heat Betting Insights

• This season, the Cavaliers games have gone over 214.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 67 (out of 82) times.
• This year, 53 of the Heat's 82 games have had a combined total higher than 214.5 points scored.
• The Cavaliers and Heat average 18.0 more points between them than the over/under of 214.5 for this game.
• The Cavaliers and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 7.9 more points per game than the over/under of 214.5 set in this game.
• Cleveland has won 60, or 81.1%, of the 74 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Miami has been victorious in 11, or 29.7%, of the 37 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• In the last three head-to-head matchups, Cleveland has a 2-1 record against Miami.
• The Heat have an advantage against the spread (2-1) when hitting the court against the Cavaliers.

Cavaliers Recent Trends

• The Cavaliers are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 games.
• Cleveland and its opponents have combined to score an average of 233.5 points over its last 10 games, 19.0 more than the 214.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Cavaliers' 82 games this year, they have 49 wins against the spread.
• Cleveland has been favored by 12.5 points or more 20 times this season and are 9-11 ATS in those contests.
• Cavaliers games this year have hit the over on 49 of 82 set point totals.
• The 121.9 points per game the Cavaliers record are 11.9 more points than the Heat give up (110).
• Cleveland is 45-26 against the spread and 58-13 overall when scoring more than 110 points.
• The Cavaliers are shooting 49.1% from the field this season, 2.5 percentage points higher than the 46.6% the Heat allow to opponents.
• At home, the Cavaliers have a worse record against the spread (23-18-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (26-15-0).
• Cleveland has exceeded the total in 25 of 41 home games (61%), compared to 24 of 41 road games (58.5%).
• The Cavaliers have played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 34-6, compared to going 26-8 away from home.

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Cavaliers Leaders

• Donovan Mitchell averages 24 points, 5 assists and 4.5 rebounds per contest.
• Evan Mobley posts 18.5 points, 9.3 boards and 3.2 assists per game, shooting 55.7% from the field and 37% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game.
• Darius Garland puts up 20.6 points, 2.9 rebounds and 6.7 assists per contest, shooting 47.2% from the field and 40.1% from downtown with 2.8 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jarrett Allen averages 13.5 points, 9.7 boards and 1.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• De'Andre Hunter posts 17 points, 4 boards and 1.4 assists per game. Defensively he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Cavaliers Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 6-4 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Miami's average total over the last 10 games is 1.8 points greater than the 214.5 total listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 38-42-2 this year.
• This year, Miami has one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 12.5 points or more.
• Heat games this season have gone over the total in 45 of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• The Heat average only 1.8 fewer points per game (110.6) than the Cavaliers allow their opponents to score (112.4).
• When it scores more than 112.4 points, Miami is 23-14-1 against the spread and 24-14 overall.
• The Heat's 46.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.1 percentage points higher than the Cavaliers have given up to their opponents (45.4%).
• The Heat's winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-19-1). On the road, it is .415 (17-23-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Miami's games have gone over more often at home (25 of 41, 61%) than on the road (20 of 41, 48.8%).
• The Heat's winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .577 (15-11), and away it is .579 (11-8).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo puts up 18.1 points, 9.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game for the Heat.
• On a per-game basis, Tyler Herro gives the Heat 23.9 points, 5.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He is making 44.8% of his shots from the field and 37.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per contest.
• Kel'el Ware gets the Heat 9.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest while averaging 0.6 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.
• Davion Mitchell is averaging 7.9 points, 2.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game. He is draining 46.8% of his shots from the floor and 39.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per game.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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