
Yankees vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16
Cam Schlittler is starting for the New York Yankees on Tuesday against Austin Martin and the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET at Target Field. The Yankees are the favorite in this one, at -167, while the underdog Twins have +140 odds to upset. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. A 9-run total is listed in this contest.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Yankees vs. Twins Game Information & Odds
- When: Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to watch on TV: MNNT and YES
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -167 | +140 | 9 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 | -102 | -118 |
Yankees vs. Twins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Twins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Yankees 52%, Twins 48%
Yankees vs. Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 73 out of the 127 games, or 57.5%, in which they've been favored.
- New York has entered 56 games this season favored by -167 or more and is 37-19 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- The Twins have been underdogs in 60 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (40%) in those contests.
- Minnesota has a win-loss record of 6-9 when favored by +140 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.
Yankees Recent Betting Performance
- The Yankees have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Yankees have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Yankees Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.42 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Yankees Player Insights
- Aaron Judge has accumulated a team-best batting average of .325, and paces the Yankees in home runs (48) and runs batted in (102).
- Among all hitters in the majors, Judge is fourth in homers and eighth in RBI.
- Cody Bellinger is hitting .274 with 25 doubles, five triples, 28 home runs and 48 walks.
- Bellinger is 25th in homers and 16th in RBI on the season.
- Trent Grisham is batting .236 with nine doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 73 walks.
- Jazz Chisholm is hitting .242 with 13 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 56 walks.
Yankees Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 (-193) | 1.5 (+122) | - | 0.5 (+176) |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 (-191) | 1.5 (+118) | - | 0.5 (+136) |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+111) | - | 0.5 (+138) |
| Ben Rice | 0.5 (-246) | 1.5 (-102) | - | 0.5 (+125) |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (-113) | - | 0.5 (+114) |
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- Over their last 10 games, the Twins are 5-5-0 against the spread.
Twins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.07 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Twins Player Insights
- Byron Buxton leads the squad with a batting average of .271, while pacing the Twins in home runs, with 31 and runs batted in with 76.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Buxton's home run total ranks 12th and his RBI tally is 50th.
- Trevor Larnach has 22 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks while batting .253.
- Larnach is currently 113th in homers and 118th in RBI in the major leagues.
- Brooks Lee is batting .238 with 15 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 30 walks.
- Kody Clemens is hitting .216 with 11 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 26 walks.
Twins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 (-191) | 1.5 (+144) | - | 0.5 (+196) |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 (-188) | 1.5 (+137) | - | 0.5 (+186) |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 (-258) | 1.5 (-101) | - | 0.5 (+156) |
| Zebby Matthews | - | - | - | - |
| Luke Keaschall | - | - | - | - |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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