Yankees vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Yankees vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Cam Schlittler is starting for the New York Yankees on Tuesday against Austin Martin and the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET at Target Field. The Yankees are the favorite in this one, at -167, while the underdog Twins have +140 odds to upset. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. A 9-run total is listed in this contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to watch on TV: MNNT and YES
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -167 +140 9 -110 -110 -1.5 -102 -118

Yankees vs. Twins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Twins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 52%, Twins 48%

Yankees vs. Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 73 out of the 127 games, or 57.5%, in which they've been favored.
  • New York has entered 56 games this season favored by -167 or more and is 37-19 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • The Twins have been underdogs in 60 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (40%) in those contests.
  • Minnesota has a win-loss record of 6-9 when favored by +140 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Yankees have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 13
ERA 5.42
K/9 7.4

Yankees Player Insights

  • Aaron Judge has accumulated a team-best batting average of .325, and paces the Yankees in home runs (48) and runs batted in (102).
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Judge is fourth in homers and eighth in RBI.
  • Cody Bellinger is hitting .274 with 25 doubles, five triples, 28 home runs and 48 walks.
  • Bellinger is 25th in homers and 16th in RBI on the season.
  • Trent Grisham is batting .236 with nine doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 73 walks.
  • Jazz Chisholm is hitting .242 with 13 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 56 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trent Grisham 0.5 (-193) 1.5 (+122) - 0.5 (+176)
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 (-191) 1.5 (+118) - 0.5 (+136)
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+111) - 0.5 (+138)
Ben Rice 0.5 (-246) 1.5 (-102) - 0.5 (+125)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (-113) - 0.5 (+114)

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Twins are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 14
ERA 5.07
K/9 9.2

Twins Player Insights

  • Byron Buxton leads the squad with a batting average of .271, while pacing the Twins in home runs, with 31 and runs batted in with 76.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Buxton's home run total ranks 12th and his RBI tally is 50th.
  • Trevor Larnach has 22 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks while batting .253.
  • Larnach is currently 113th in homers and 118th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Brooks Lee is batting .238 with 15 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Kody Clemens is hitting .216 with 11 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 26 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trevor Larnach 0.5 (-191) 1.5 (+144) - 0.5 (+196)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-188) 1.5 (+137) - 0.5 (+186)
Byron Buxton 0.5 (-258) 1.5 (-101) - 0.5 (+156)
Zebby Matthews - - - -
Luke Keaschall - - - -

Inning over, thanks to Austin Martin 🧤🙅‍♂️⚾

Inning over, thanks to Austin Martin 🧤🙅‍♂️⚾

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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