Yankees vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Will Warren and Zebby Matthews are the projected starters when the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins face off on Monday at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are the favorite in this one, at -187, while the underdog Twins have +155 odds to win. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +112 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Astros vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, August 11, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, YES, and MNNT

Yankees vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 55%, Twins 45%

Yankees vs. Twins Betting Insights

• The Yankees have been favorites in 98 games this season and won 53 (54.1%) of those contests.
• New York has a record of 19-11, a 63.3% win rate, when favored by -187 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 65.2% chance to win.
• The Twins have been underdogs in 43 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (39.5%) in those contests.
• This season, Minnesota has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +155 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 39.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 1-5 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Yankees have a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (37), runs batted in (86) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .337.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Judge's home run total ranks him fourth, and his RBI tally puts him seventh.
• Cody Bellinger has 20 doubles, five triples, 20 home runs and 35 walks while batting .272.
• Including all major league hitters, Bellinger is 37th in home runs and 31st in RBI.
• Anthony Volpe is batting .217 with 24 doubles, four triples, 17 home runs and 38 walks.
• Trent Grisham has nine doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .245.

Yankees Team Props

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 3-4 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Twins and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Twins have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Byron Buxton leads the lineup with a batting average of .282, and paces the Twins in home runs, with 23 and runs batted in with 59.
• Among all batters in the majors, Buxton ranks 19th in homers and 59th in RBI.
• Trevor Larnach has 15 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 38 walks while batting .245.
• Larnach ranks 86th overall in home runs and 105th in RBI this season.
• Ryan Jeffers has 22 doubles, eight home runs and 35 walks while hitting .271.
• Brooks Lee is hitting .246 with 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 18 walks.

Twins Team Props

Astros vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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New York Yankees

Minnesota Twins