Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

The Minnesota Twins and Boston Red Sox will play on Wednesday at Target Field, at 1:10 p.m. ET, with Ty France and Jarren Duran among those expected to step up at the plate. Bookmakers list the Twins as -120 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox +100 moneyline odds. Minnesota (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The matchup's over/under has been set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 30, 2025 at 1:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, MNNT, and NESN

Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 50%, Red Sox 50%

Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 35 out of the 68 games, or 51.5%, in which they've been favored.
• Minnesota has a record of 28-21 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 39 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (43.6%) in those contests.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 14-16 when favored by +100 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have a 2-3 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Twins are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Trevor Larnach is hitting .241 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
• Larnach's home runs rank him 96th in the majors, and he ranks 105th in RBI.
• France is batting .252 with 19 doubles, six home runs and 19 walks.
• Of all major league batters, France ranks 216th in home runs and 96th in RBI.
• Carlos Correa has 19 doubles, seven home runs and 26 walks while batting .267.
• Correa will look to build on his six-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, eight walks and an RBI.
• Ryan Jeffers has 19 doubles, seven home runs and 34 walks while hitting .255.
• Jeffers takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .222 with two walks.

Twins Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Red Sox have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran is hitting .261 with 28 doubles, 12 triples, 10 home runs and 38 walks.
• In all of the majors, Duran ranks 137th in homers and 51st in RBI.
• Duran carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with three doubles, two triples, a home run, three walks and four RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela's .263 batting average leads his team.
• Rafaela is 82nd in home runs and 77th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with 20 long balls.
• Trevor Story has racked up a team-leading 64 runs batted in.

Red Sox Team Props

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Check out the best highlights between the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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