Twins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 12

Byron Buxton and the Minnesota Twins will try to knock off Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates when the teams meet on Saturday at 2:10 p.m. ET. The favored Twins have -142 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +119. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7 runs for this game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Minnesota Twins.

Twins vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 12, 2025 at 2:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to watch on TV: MNNT and SportsNet PT

Twins vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 54%, Pirates 46%

Twins vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 32 out of the 60 games, or 53.3%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Minnesota has won 16 of its 22 games, or 72.7%, when favored by at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 67 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (37.3%) in those games.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 15 times in 47 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and went 5-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
• The Twins have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Not only does Buxton lead the Twins in hitting with his .273 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with 20 home runs and 53 RBI.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Buxton is 16th in home runs and 38th in RBI.
• Trevor Larnach is hitting .253 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 28 walks.
• Larnach is 67th in home runs and 91st in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Ty France is hitting .252 with 16 doubles, six home runs and 14 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers is batting .248 with 17 doubles, seven home runs and 32 walks.
• Jeffers is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .471 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.

Twins Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
• The Pirates are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Cruz has launched a team-high 16 home runs.
• In all of MLB, Cruz ranks 38th in homers and 114th in RBI.
• Cruz brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a home run and two RBIs.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .259 to lead the lineup.
• McCutchen ranks 149th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 156th in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 46 runs batted in.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .267 with 11 doubles, two triples, a home run and 14 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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