Twins vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 1

Trevor Larnach and Otto Lopez will be among the stars on display when the Minnesota Twins play the Miami Marlins on Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET, at loanDepot park. The favored Twins have -140 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +119. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +122 odds). The over/under for the game has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners' Julio Rodriguez throws out Twins' Matt Wallner at home to keep game tied in extras

Seattle Mariners' Julio Rodriguez kept the game tied in extras after he threw out Minnesota Twins' Matt Wallner at that plate.

Twins vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and MNNT

Twins vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Marlins 48%

Twins vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have been favored 52 times and won 27, or 51.9%, of those games.
• Minnesota is 16-7 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
• The Twins have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 72 games this season and have come away with the win 32 times (44.4%) in those contests.
• Miami has a mark of 26-32 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins went 2-4 over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Twins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Byron Buxton's 19 long balls and 51 RBI both lead the Twins, in addition to his team-high .281 average.
• Buxton's home runs place him 13th in MLB, and he is 25th in RBI.
• Larnach is hitting .257 with 12 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 27 walks.
• Larnach is 56th in homers and 77th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Ty France is hitting .263 with 15 doubles, six home runs and 14 walks.
• France has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .267 with a double and a walk.
• Carlos Correa is batting .258 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.

Twins Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won eight of those contests.
• The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins are 9-1-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Lopez has nine doubles, eight home runs and 25 walks while batting .260.
• Lopez's home run total puts him 134th in the big leagues, and he is 71st in RBI.
• Lopez has collected a hit in 10 games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .415 with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and 15 RBIs.
• Kyle Stowers' 13 home runs, 43 RBI and .279 batting average are all tops in the lineup.
• Stowers is 43rd in home runs and 53rd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Agustin Ramirez has 15 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 17 walks while batting .255.
• Eric Wagaman is hitting .251 with 19 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Mariners' Julio Rodriguez throws out Twins' Matt Wallner at home to keep game tied in extras

Seattle Mariners' Julio Rodriguez kept the game tied in extras after he threw out Minnesota Twins' Matt Wallner at that plate.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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