Twins vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

A pair of hot hitters, Byron Buxton and Jackson Chourio, will be on display when the Minnesota Twins face the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday at 7:15 p.m. ET, at American Family Field. Oddsmakers list the Twins as -116 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Brewers -104 moneyline odds. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +145 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers.

Twins vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to watch on TV: FOX and KMSP

Twins vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Brewers 49%

Twins vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have been favored 28 times and won 16, or 57.1%, of those games.
• Minnesota has a record of 14-7, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -116 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
• The Brewers have won in seven, or 29.2%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Milwaukee has been victorious five times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 51% chance of walking away with the win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins won each of the five games they played while the moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Twins have gone 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Buxton has put up a team-best batting average of .261, while leading the Twins in home runs (10) and runs batted in (27).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Buxton's home run total places him 16th, and his RBI tally puts him 29th.
• Buxton has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .118 with a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
• Trevor Larnach is hitting .245 with five doubles, seven home runs and 18 walks.
• Larnach ranks 52nd in homers and 61st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Ty France is batting .252 with eight doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.
• Harrison Bader is hitting .300 with six doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.
• Bader brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two doubles, a walk and two RBIs.

Twins Team Props

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Brewers are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Chourio paces the Brewers with seven home runs.
• Chourio ranks 52nd in homers and 41st in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Brice Turang has a club-leading .288 batting average.
• Among all major league hitters, Turang is 168th in homers and 143rd in RBI.
• William Contreras is hitting .245 with four doubles, four home runs and 25 walks.
• Sal Frelick is batting .271 with five doubles, two triples, two home runs and 14 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Twins vs Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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