Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2025 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Parker Meadows and the Detroit Tigers will play Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians at Comerica Park in the first of a three-game series, on Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The favored Tigers have -144 moneyline odds against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +121. Detroit (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the contest has been set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Tigers vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Detroit Tigers and the Miami Marlins!

Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to watch on TV: FDSDET and CLEG
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Tigers -144 +121 8 -112 -108 -1.5 +145 -174

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Tigers 55%, Guardians 45%

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have entered the game as favorites 104 times this season and won 63, or 60.6%, of those games.
  • Detroit has a record of 43-20 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Tigers.
  • The Guardians have been underdogs in 82 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (45.1%) in those contests.
  • This season, Cleveland has come away with a win 20 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 45.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers went 2-4 across the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Tigers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
  • The Tigers have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 11
ERA 4.04
K/9 7.9

Tigers Player Insights

  • Gleyber Torres has 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 82 walks while hitting .255.
  • In all of the majors, Torres is 129th in home runs and 66th in RBI.
  • Riley Greene has shown his power as he paces his team with 34 home runs and 108 runs batted in, with a team-high .265 batting average.
  • Greene is ninth in home runs and fifth in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Spencer Torkelson is batting .237 with 26 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 68 walks.
  • Torkelson is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with three walks.
  • Zach McKinstry is batting .261 with 21 doubles, 11 triples, 11 home runs and 45 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Wenceel Perez 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+123) - 0.5 (+166)
Riley Greene 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+139) - 0.5 (+179)
Gleyber Torres 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+134) - 0.5 (+200)
Casey Mize - - - -
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 (-166) - - 0.5 (+164)

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games as an underdog over the last 10 matchups, Cleveland has a perfect record of 3-0.
  • The Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Guardians have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 4
HR 9
ERA 1.40
K/9 8

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez leads the squad with a batting average of .281, and paces the Guardians in home runs, with 28 and runs batted in with 77.
  • In all of the big leagues, Ramirez ranks 25th in homers and 48th in RBI.
  • Kwan has 26 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 52 walks while batting .273.
  • Kwan ranks 197th in home runs and 174th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Kyle Manzardo has 15 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .236.
  • Angel Martinez is hitting .227 with 22 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 19 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kyle Manzardo 0.5 (-201) 1.5 (+133) - 0.5 (+161)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-264) 1.5 (+107) - 0.5 (+151)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+118) - 0.5 (+242)
Joey Cantillo - - - -
Nolan Jones 0.5 (-137) - - 0.5 (+300)

Tigers vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Detroit Tigers and the Miami Marlins!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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