Royals vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

Bailey Falter takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday at Kauffman Stadium against Vinnie Pasquantino and the Kansas City Royals. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. The favored Royals have -190 moneyline odds against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +158. Kansas City (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8.5-run total has been listed in this game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Royals-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Pittsburgh Pirates and Kansas City Royals.

Royals vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to watch on TV: FDSKC and SportsNet PT

Royals vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Royals 4, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Royals 54%, Pirates 46%

Royals vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Royals have been favored 34 times and won 17, or 50%, of those games.
• Kansas City is undefeated in seven games this season when favored by -190 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Royals, based on the moneyline, is 65.5%.
• The Pirates have won in 25, or 38.5%, of the 65 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 5-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +158 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 38.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have been listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only twice in the last 10 games, and won both matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Royals and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Royals' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. has 30 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 28 walks while batting .295.
• Among all batters in baseball, Witt's home run total ranks him 59th, and his RBI tally puts him 34th.
• Witt has collected a hit in 12 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .375 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and 10 RBIs.
• Maikel Garcia is batting .305 to pace his team.
• Garcia ranks 144th in home runs in MLB, and 87th in RBI.
• Garcia carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Pasquantino has accumulated a team-high 15 home runs and 56 runs batted in.
• Pasquantino has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, three home runs and seven RBIs.
• Salvador Perez has 24 doubles, 11 home runs and 16 walks while batting .239.
• Perez has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double, two home runs and four RBIs.

Royals Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 4-5 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Pirates have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with 16 long balls.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Cruz's home run total ranks 34th and his RBI tally is 117th.
• Bryan Reynolds has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 46 runs batted in.
• Reynolds ranks 110th in home runs and 61st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Andrew McCutchen leads the Pirates with a team-best batting average of .258.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .271 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 14 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Pirates vs. Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Pittsburgh Pirates and Kansas City Royals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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