Reds vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 28

Noah Cameron will start for the Kansas City Royals in the final of a three-game series against the Cincinnati Reds and TJ Friedl on Wednesday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Reds are -120 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Royals (+100). Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total for the matchup is listed at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds' Elly De La Cruz crushes a 436-foot home run vs. Royals

Cincinnati Reds' Elly De La Cruz crushed a 436-foot home run vs. Kansas City Royals.

Reds vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 28, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to watch on TV: FDSKC and FDSOH

Reds vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Royals 3, Reds 2
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 54%, Royals 46%

Reds vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Reds have won 13 out of the 26 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
• Cincinnati has a record of 11-8, a 57.9% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Reds.
• The Royals have won in 16, or 48.5%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 9-16 when favored by +100 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds went 2-2 over the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Reds' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds in home runs (11) and runs batted in (40).
• Of all hitters in the majors, De La Cruz ranks 21st in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• De La Cruz brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with three home runs, three walks and seven RBIs.
• Friedl is hitting .299 to lead his team.
• Friedl ranks 194th in homers and 146th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Friedl has five straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
• Austin Hays is batting .308 with six doubles, three triples, six home runs and seven walks.
• Gavin Lux has 14 doubles, a triple, a home run and 24 walks while hitting .293.
• Lux has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double, three walks and an RBI.

Reds Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 4-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Royals and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Royals are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. has 20 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 20 walks while hitting .289.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt is 130th in homers and 63rd in RBI.
• Maikel Garcia's .308 batting average leads his team.
• Garcia is 130th in home runs and 82nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been a significant run producer for the Royals with eight home runs and 30 runs batted in.
• Jonathan India is hitting .232 with 10 doubles, a home run and 24 walks.

Royals Team Props

Reds' Elly De La Cruz crushes a 436-foot home run vs. Royals

Cincinnati Reds' Elly De La Cruz crushed a 436-foot home run vs. Kansas City Royals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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