Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 8

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 8

Updated Jul. 8, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins and Otto Lopez take the field in the second game of a four-game series against Austin Hays and the Cincinnati Reds, on Tuesday at Great American Ball Park. Bookmakers list the Reds as -122 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +102 moneyline odds to win. Cincinnati is a 1.5-run favorite (at +164 odds). A 9-run total has been set in the contest.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds.

Reds vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 8, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to watch on TV: FDSOH and FDSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds -122 +102 9 -106 -114 -1.5 +164 -199

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Marlins 45%

Reds vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 18 (48.6%) of those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 14-12, a 53.8% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 78 games this season and have come away with the win 36 times (46.2%) in those contests.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 32-37 when favored by +102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds went 1-2 across the three games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Reds have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 8
ERA 4.81
K/9 8.1

Reds Player Insights

  • Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds in home runs (18) and runs batted in (60).
  • In all of Major League Baseball, De La Cruz is 21st in homers and 12th in RBI.
  • TJ Friedl has a club-best .277 batting average.
  • Friedl ranks 144th in homers and 140th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Spencer Steer is batting .254 with 15 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 23 walks.
  • Gavin Lux has 16 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 37 walks while batting .264.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+205)
Matt McLain 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+175)
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+145)
Austin Hays 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+145)
Tyler Stephenson - - - -

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
  • The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Marlins have nine wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 12
ERA 3.16
K/9 8.6

Marlins Player Insights

  • Lopez is batting .250 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 27 walks.
  • Lopez ranks 128th in homers and 68th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Kyle Stowers has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 16 home runs and 46 RBI.
  • Stowers ranks 33rd overall in home runs and 58th in RBI this year.
  • Agustin Ramirez is hitting .245 with 16 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 17 walks.
  • Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .286.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kyle Stowers 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+155)
Connor Norby 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+210)
Xavier Edwards 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+240)
Otto Lopez 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+160)
Jesus Sanchez 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+150)

Marlins vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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