
Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 8
The Miami Marlins and Otto Lopez take the field in the second game of a four-game series against Austin Hays and the Cincinnati Reds, on Tuesday at Great American Ball Park. Bookmakers list the Reds as -122 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +102 moneyline odds to win. Cincinnati is a 1.5-run favorite (at +164 odds). A 9-run total has been set in the contest.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.
Marlins vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX
Reds vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
- When: Tuesday, July 8, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: FDSOH and FDSFL
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -122 | +102 | 9 | -106 | -114 | -1.5 | +164 | -199 |
Reds vs. Marlins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Marlins 45%
Reds vs. Marlins Betting Insights
- The Reds have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 18 (48.6%) of those contests.
- Cincinnati has a record of 14-12, a 53.8% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- The Marlins have been underdogs in 78 games this season and have come away with the win 36 times (46.2%) in those contests.
- Miami has a win-loss record of 32-37 when favored by +102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Reds Recent Betting Performance
- The Reds went 1-2 across the three games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Reds have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Reds Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Reds Player Insights
- Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds in home runs (18) and runs batted in (60).
- In all of Major League Baseball, De La Cruz is 21st in homers and 12th in RBI.
- TJ Friedl has a club-best .277 batting average.
- Friedl ranks 144th in homers and 140th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
- Spencer Steer is batting .254 with 15 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 23 walks.
- Gavin Lux has 16 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 37 walks while batting .264.
Reds Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Matt McLain | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Tyler Stephenson | - | - | - | - |
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
- The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Marlins have nine wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Marlins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.16 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Lopez is batting .250 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 27 walks.
- Lopez ranks 128th in homers and 68th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Kyle Stowers has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 16 home runs and 46 RBI.
- Stowers ranks 33rd overall in home runs and 58th in RBI this year.
- Agustin Ramirez is hitting .245 with 16 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 17 walks.
- Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .286.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Stowers | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Connor Norby | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+210) |
| Xavier Edwards | 1.5 (+155) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+240) |
| Otto Lopez | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Jesus Sanchez | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
Marlins vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Reds, Marlins Make a Trade
Alex Bregman? Tarik Skubal Trade? 3 Moves Cubs Should Make If Kyle Tucker Walks
MLB Free Agency Rumors, Buzz: New Team Enters Alex Bregman Sweepstakes
Way-Too-Early 2026 MLB Power Rankings: How Teams Stand Before Winter Meetings
10 fastest pitches in MLB History: Regular season and playoff records
Reuniting Rickey Hill with his ring, 37 years later
World Series Winners: Complete list of champions by year
What are the 100 best athlete nicknames of all time?
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Reds, Marlins Make a Trade
Alex Bregman? Tarik Skubal Trade? 3 Moves Cubs Should Make If Kyle Tucker Walks
MLB Free Agency Rumors, Buzz: New Team Enters Alex Bregman Sweepstakes
Way-Too-Early 2026 MLB Power Rankings: How Teams Stand Before Winter Meetings
10 fastest pitches in MLB History: Regular season and playoff records
Reuniting Rickey Hill with his ring, 37 years later
World Series Winners: Complete list of champions by year
What are the 100 best athlete nicknames of all time?

