Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 11

The Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will play on Wednesday at Fenway Park, at 7:10 p.m. ET, with Rafael Devers and Junior Caminero among those expected to step up at the plate. Bookmakers list the Red Sox as -124 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Rays +104 moneyline odds to win. Boston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total for the matchup is listed at 9.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSSUN

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Rays 49%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 44 times this season and won 22, or 50%, of those games.
• Boston is 12-15 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 55.4% chance to win.
• The Rays have been underdogs in 29 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (48.3%) in those contests.
• Tampa Bay has a mark of 11-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 3-2 record across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Red Sox's record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Devers is the Red Sox best power option, connecting on 14 round-trippers this season in addition to accumulating 57 RBI, both team highs.
• Devers' home runs rank him 14th in the majors, and he is third in RBI.
• Jarren Duran is batting .271 with 18 doubles, seven triples, four home runs and 20 walks.
• Among all major league batters, Duran ranks 195th in home runs and 43rd in RBI.
• Duran has eight games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .256 with five doubles, a triple, four walks and three RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 10 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 14 walks while hitting .249.
• Rafaela has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with four walks.
• Carlos Narvaez has 13 doubles, six home runs and 21 walks while batting .280.

Red Sox Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and have gone 1-2 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rays have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Caminero paces the Rays in home runs (15) and runs batted in (41).
• Among all hitters in MLB, Caminero ranks 13th in home runs and 23rd in RBI.
• Yandy Diaz is batting .252 with 13 doubles, nine home runs and 19 walks.
• Diaz is 68th in home runs and 43rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jonathan Aranda leads the Rays with a team-high batting average of .317.
• Brandon Lowe is batting .242 with eight doubles, 13 home runs and 17 walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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