Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30

Dustin May and Johan Oviedo will start for their respective teams when the Boston Red Sox and the Pittsburgh Pirates play on Saturday at Fenway Park, at 4:10 p.m. ET. The favored Red Sox have -177 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +147. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the matchup has been listed at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Cardinals vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds.

Red Sox vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, NESN, and SportsNet PT

Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Pirates 43%

Red Sox vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 82 times this season and won 49, or 59.8%, of those games.
• Boston is 12-5 this season when entering a game favored by -177 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 63.9% chance to win.
• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 94 games this year and have walked away with the win 39 times (41.5%) in those games.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 8-22 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +147 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 5-2 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran has put up a team-high batting average of .258.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Duran's home run total ranks him 140th, and his RBI tally ranks him 41st.
• Duran has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
• Trevor Story has shown his power as he leads his team with 22 home runs and 84 runs batted in.
• Story ranks 43rd in homers and 16th in RBI in the bigs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 29 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .252.
• Rafaela has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a home run and two RBIs.
• Alex Bregman has 24 doubles, 16 home runs and 39 walks while batting .291.

Red Sox Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 4-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Pirates are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds has put up a team-leading 66 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds ranks 121st in homers and 60th in RBI.
• Oneil Cruz's 18 home runs are a team-high total.
• Cruz is currently 72nd in homers and 120th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .245 with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 56 walks.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .265.

Pirates Team Props

Cardinals vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Boston Red Sox

Pittsburgh Pirates