Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28

Garrett Crochet gets the start for the Boston Red Sox on Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET. The Orioles have been listed as +169 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Red Sox (-206). Boston is a 1.5-run favorite (at -124 odds). The total is 8 runs for this matchup.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, August 28, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to watch on TV: MASN and NESN

Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Orioles 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Orioles 48%

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 80 times and won 48, or 60%, of those games.
• Boston has entered 12 games this season favored by -206 or more and is 9-3 in those contests.
• The Red Sox have a 67.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 71 games this year and have walked away with the win 32 times (45.1%) in those games.
• This season, Baltimore has been victorious three times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +169 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 37.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox's ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is the Red Sox best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .258 clip along with 13 homers and 73 RBI.
• Duran ranks 136th in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Trevor Story's 83 runs batted in lead his team.
• Story is 47th in homers and 16th in RBI in the majors.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .249 with 29 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 22 walks.
• Rafaela is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with four doubles, a home run and three RBIs.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .298 with 24 doubles, 16 home runs and 39 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Orioles had a record of 3-4.
• The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Orioles have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Henderson leads the squad with a batting average of .278, and leads the Orioles in home runs, with 16 and runs batted in with 59.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Henderson's home run total ranks 92nd and his RBI tally ranks 85th.
• Jackson Holliday is batting .240 with 17 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks.
• Holliday ranks 109th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 134th in RBI.
• Colton Cowser is batting .222 with 11 doubles, 12 home runs and 16 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle has 14 doubles, four home runs and 11 walks while batting .251.

Orioles Team Props

Red Sox vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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