Red Sox vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Shohei Ohtani hit the field against Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox on Friday, in the first game of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox have been listed as -115 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Dodgers (-105). Los Angeles (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's over/under is set at 9.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Dodgers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Red Sox vs. Dodgers Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 25, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and SportsNet LA

Red Sox vs. Dodgers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Dodgers 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 53%, Dodgers 47%

Red Sox vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 37, or 58.7%, of those games.
• Boston has entered 58 games this season favored by -115 or more and is 35-23 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
• The Dodgers have been underdogs in 14 games this season and have come away with the win six times (42.9%) in those contests.
• This season, Los Angeles has come away with a win five times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox played five of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Red Sox's ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Ceddanne Rafaela has a team-best batting average of .271.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Rafaela's home run total places him 67th, and his RBI tally puts him 71st.
• Rafaela takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a walk.
• Duran is batting .254 with 25 doubles, 10 triples, nine home runs and 35 walks.
• Duran is 145th in homers and 56th in RBI on the season.
• Wilyer Abreu has launched a team-high 20 home runs.
• Trevor Story has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 60 RBI.
• Story is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a walk and two RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Dodgers have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Dodgers and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Dodgers are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Ohtani paces the Dodgers with 37 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 70.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Ohtani's home run total is second and his RBI tally ranks 12th.
• Ohtani carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with five home runs, two walks and 10 RBIs.
• Mookie Betts is batting .238 with 14 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 38 walks.
• Betts is currently 113th in home runs and 82nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Will Smith leads the Dodgers with a team-high batting average of .323.
• Andy Pages is batting .284 with 16 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 20 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Red Sox vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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