Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 30

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 30

Updated Apr. 30, 2025 7:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox versus Toronto Blue Jays game on Wednesday at 7:07 p.m. ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Alexander Bregman and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The Red Sox are favored in this one, at -110, while the underdog Blue Jays have -109 odds to win. Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the game has been set at 9.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Blue Jays' Daulton Varsho stumbles, recovers and makes a catch robbing Jarren Duran of a base hit

Daulton Varsho sumbled, recovered and made a ridiculous grab to rob Jarred Duran of extra bases.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
  • How to watch on TV: SN1 and NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -110 -109 9.5 -103 -117 -1.5 +139 -166

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Blue Jays 49%

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 24 times this season and won 14, or 58.3%, of those games.
  • Boston is 14-10 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 52.4% chance to win.
  • The Blue Jays have won in eight, or 40%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Toronto has a mark of 7-12 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox went 6-4 across the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.
  • The Red Sox have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 17
ERA 3.80
K/9 9.6

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Bregman leads the Red Sox with six home runs and 23 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-best batting average of .331.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Bregman is eighth in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
  • Bregman has collected a hit in nine straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .375 with four doubles, two home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit six home runs to pace his team.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Abreu ranks 30th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
  • Abreu has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a double, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
  • Jarren Duran is hitting .273 with eight doubles, three triples, two home runs and nine walks.
  • Duran will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .375 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
  • Rafael Devers is batting .217 with eight doubles, five home runs and 24 walks.
  • Devers takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, three home runs, three walks and four RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jarren Duran 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+220)
Alexander Bregman 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+160)
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+235)
Triston Casas 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+235)
Trevor Story 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (-185) - 0.5 (+180)

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Blue Jays have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2.1
HR 4
ERA 6.03
K/9 8.9

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Guerrero has a team-leading three home runs and has driven in 14 runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Guerrero's home run total is 105th and his RBI tally ranks 72nd.
  • Bo Bichette is hitting .290 with nine doubles and five walks.
  • Bichette is 297th in home runs and 95th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
  • George Springer paces the Blue Jays with a team-high batting average of .313.
  • Andres Gimenez has put up a team-high three home runs.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
George Springer 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+165)
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+180)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+145)
Bo Bichette 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+165)
Ernie Clement 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-205) - 0.5 (+175)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
share