
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 30
The Boston Red Sox versus Toronto Blue Jays game on Wednesday at 7:07 p.m. ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Alexander Bregman and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The Red Sox are favored in this one, at -110, while the underdog Blue Jays have -109 odds to win. Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the game has been set at 9.5 runs.
Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Blue Jays' Daulton Varsho stumbles, recovers and makes a catch robbing Jarren Duran of a base hit
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7:07 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
- How to watch on TV: SN1 and NESN
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -110 | -109 | 9.5 | -103 | -117 | -1.5 | +139 | -166 |
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Blue Jays 49%
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 24 times this season and won 14, or 58.3%, of those games.
- Boston is 14-10 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 52.4% chance to win.
- The Blue Jays have won in eight, or 40%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Toronto has a mark of 7-12 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
- The Red Sox went 6-4 across the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total seven times.
- The Red Sox have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Red Sox Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.80 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Red Sox Player Insights
- Bregman leads the Red Sox with six home runs and 23 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-best batting average of .331.
- Among all MLB hitters, Bregman is eighth in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
- Bregman has collected a hit in nine straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .375 with four doubles, two home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
- Wilyer Abreu has hit six home runs to pace his team.
- Among all MLB hitters, Abreu ranks 30th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
- Abreu has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a double, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
- Jarren Duran is hitting .273 with eight doubles, three triples, two home runs and nine walks.
- Duran will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .375 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
- Rafael Devers is batting .217 with eight doubles, five home runs and 24 walks.
- Devers takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, three home runs, three walks and four RBI.
Red Sox Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+220) |
| Alexander Bregman | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 (-115) | 0.5 (-120) | - | 0.5 (+235) |
| Triston Casas | 0.5 (-120) | 0.5 (-120) | - | 0.5 (+235) |
| Trevor Story | 0.5 (-180) | 0.5 (-185) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance
- The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
- The Blue Jays have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Blue Jays Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.1 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 6.03 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Blue Jays Player Insights
- Guerrero has a team-leading three home runs and has driven in 14 runs.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Guerrero's home run total is 105th and his RBI tally ranks 72nd.
- Bo Bichette is hitting .290 with nine doubles and five walks.
- Bichette is 297th in home runs and 95th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
- George Springer paces the Blue Jays with a team-high batting average of .313.
- Andres Gimenez has put up a team-high three home runs.
Blue Jays Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 (+155) | 1.5 (-115) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Ernie Clement | 0.5 (-200) | 0.5 (-205) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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