Rays vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

The Tampa Bay Rays and Milwaukee Brewers will play on Sunday at George M. Steinbrenner Field, at 1:40 p.m. ET, with Yandy Diaz and Jackson Chourio -- two hot hitters -- expected to step up at the plate. The Rays are the favorite in this one, at -142, while the underdog Brewers have +120 odds to upset. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +141 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for the contest (with -101 odds to hit the over and -119 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Brewers vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays on May 10th, 2025.

Rays vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSWI

Rays vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Brewers 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 52%, Brewers 48%

Rays vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• This season, the Rays have been favored 21 times and won 10, or 47.6%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 5-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Brewers have come away with five wins in the 20 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win two times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays went 1-2 over the three games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Rays' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz leads the Rays with 20 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Diaz ranks 54th in home runs and 62nd in RBI.
• Jonathan Aranda's .327 batting average leads his team.
• Aranda ranks 76th in homers in baseball, and 99th in RBI.
• Junior Caminero has a team-best seven home runs.
• Caminero has at least one base hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Kameron Misner has seven doubles, a triple, three home runs and eight walks while batting .255.

Rays Team Props

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Brewers are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Chourio paces the Brewers in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (25).
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Chourio's home run total ranks 39th and his RBI tally ranks 21st.
• Brice Turang is batting .302 to lead the lineup.
• Turang ranks 148th in home runs and 113th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• William Contreras is batting .237 with two doubles, three home runs and 24 walks.
• Sal Frelick is hitting .282 with five doubles, two triples, a home run and 14 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Brewers vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays on May 10th, 2025.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Tampa Bay Rays

Milwaukee Brewers