Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 18

Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 18

Updated May. 18, 2025 1:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Alexander Canario ready for the final of a three-game series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday at Citizens Bank Park. Bookmakers list the Pirates as -111 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Phillies -108 moneyline odds. Pittsburgh (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8.5-run total is set in the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -111 -108 8.5 -121 +100 -1.5 +144 -173

Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 68%, Phillies 32%

Pirates vs. Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have won five, or 33.3%, of the 15 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Pittsburgh is 5-10 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have a 52.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have been victorious in four of the eight contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Philadelphia has been victorious four times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the last 10 games, the Pirates have been named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just one time, a game they lost.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over one time.
  • The Pirates' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 7
ERA 3.45
K/9 7.2

Pirates Player Insights

  • Oneil Cruz has a team-best eight home runs.
  • Among all batters in baseball, Cruz's home run total ranks him 38th, and his RBI tally puts him 115th.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .248 with seven doubles, three home runs and 20 walks.
  • McCutchen is 169th in homers and 173rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 22 runs batted in.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has three doubles, two triples, a home run and nine walks while hitting .255.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Spencer Horwitz 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+160)
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+145)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+180)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 (-215) 0.5 (-220) - 0.5 (+210)

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • Bookmakers have not installed the Phillies as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
  • The Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Phillies have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 9
ERA 3.50
K/9 9.3

Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber has managed a team-leading 15 home runs and has driven in 35 runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Schwarber is second in homers and seventh in RBI.
  • Schwarber takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
  • Harper has 10 doubles, seven home runs and 33 walks while hitting .256.
  • Among all major league hitters, Harper is 55th in homers and 39th in RBI.
  • Trea Turner leads the Phillies' lineup with a .299 batting average.
  • Bryson Stott is hitting .263 with five doubles, two triples, four home runs and 15 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trea Turner 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+160) - 0.5 (+230)
Nick Castellanos 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+185)
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+235)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
Rafael Marchan 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+275)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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