Pirates vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Pirates vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Updated Sep. 10, 2025 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates will play Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, at 6:35 p.m. ET. The Pirates are the favorite in this one, at -158, while the underdog Orioles have +133 odds to win. Pittsburgh is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7-run total is listed for this contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Dodgers vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Baltimore Orioles.

Pirates vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 10, 2025 at 6:35 p.m. ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to watch on TV: MASN and SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -158 +133 7 -117 -104 -1.5 +115 -136

Pirates vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 54%, Orioles 46%

Pirates vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • This season, the Pirates have won 20 out of the 39 games, or 51.3%, in which they've been favored.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 6-3 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -158 on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have a 61.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have come away with 37 wins in the 80 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Baltimore has come away with a win nine times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +133 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have not been the moneyline favorite in the last 10 games.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
  • The Pirates' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4
HR 5
ERA 3.40
K/9 9

Pirates Player Insights

  • Reynolds leads the Pirates with 70 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .246.
  • Reynolds' home runs rank him 124th in the majors, and he ranks 63rd in RBI.
  • Oneil Cruz's 19 home runs pace his team.
  • Cruz ranks 74th in home runs and 117th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Andrew McCutchen is hitting .243 with 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 61 walks.
  • McCutchen will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .158 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBIs.
  • Tommy Pham has 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 40 walks while hitting .261.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-249) 1.5 (+133) - 0.5 (+175)
Spencer Horwitz 0.5 (-221) 1.5 (+141) - 0.5 (+195)
Jared Triolo 0.5 (-243) 1.5 (+129) - 0.5 (+217)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-229) 1.5 (+131) - 0.5 (+177)
Paul Skenes - - - -

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and have gone 5-3 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Orioles are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 13
ERA 4.10
K/9 7.7

Orioles Player Insights

  • Henderson has recorded a team-best batting average of .272 while pacing the Orioles in runs batted in with a mark of 61.
  • Henderson ranks 109th in homers and 96th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Jackson Holliday has hit a team-best 17 home runs.
  • Holliday ranks 96th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 135th in RBI.
  • Ryan Mountcastle is batting .259 with 18 doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
  • Colton Cowser is hitting .206 with 12 doubles, 13 home runs and 19 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyler Wells - - - -
Emmanuel Rivera - - - -
Samuel Basallo 0.5 (-169) - - 0.5 (+212)
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 (-173) - - 0.5 (+238)
Jeremiah Jackson 0.5 (-194) - - 0.5 (+258)

Dodgers vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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