Phillies vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies head into the first of a three-game series against Luis Robert and the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field, Monday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Phillies are -236 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the White Sox (+192). Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8-run over/under is set in the contest.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-White Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. White Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 28, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to watch on TV: CHSN and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. White Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, White Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, White Sox 49%

Phillies vs. White Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 83 times and won 52, or 62.7%, of those games.
• This season Philadelphia has won 11 of its 12 games, or 91.7%, when favored by at least -236 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 70.2%.
• The White Sox have been underdogs in 104 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (35.6%) in those contests.
• Chicago has a win-loss record of 2-25 when favored by +192 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 34.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 5-4 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies best power option, launching 36 home runs this season in addition to delivering 84 RBI, both team highs.
• Schwarber ranks fourth in home runs and fourth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Trea Turner's .293 batting average paces his team.
• Turner is 115th in home runs and 91st in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Harper is hitting .262 with 22 doubles, 15 home runs and 47 walks.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .270 with 23 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 22 walks.
• Castellanos takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with a double, two home runs and five RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

White Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The White Sox have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
• The White Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the White Sox are 9-1-0 against the spread.

White Sox Recent Stats

White Sox Player Insights

• Miguel Vargas is batting .227 with 25 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 39 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .306.
• In all of the big leagues, Vargas is 104th in homers and 117th in RBI.
• Andrew Benintendi been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 13 home runs and 42 RBI.
• Among all MLB batters, Benintendi ranks 91st in homers and 104th in RBI.
• Chase Meidroth is batting .257 with 12 doubles, three home runs and 33 walks.
• Robert is hitting .204 with nine doubles, 10 home runs and 35 walks.

White Sox Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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