Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to Trea Turner for continued offensive production when they take on TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday. The Reds have been listed as +157 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Phillies (-189). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +112 odds). The total for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSOH

Phillies vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Reds 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Reds 45%

Phillies vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 44, or 64.7%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 17-2, a 89.5% win rate, when favored by -189 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Reds have won in 27, or 54%, of the 50 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Cincinnati has won one of six games when listed as at least +157 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 38.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 2-2 over the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
• The Phillies have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 26 home runs and 60 runs batted in.
• Schwarber's home runs place him fifth in the majors, and he ranks 11th in RBI.
• Turner has a club-best .299 batting average.
• Turner is 79th in homers and 86th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Turner has four straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .278 with 22 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 20 walks.
• Castellanos has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBIs.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .282 with 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 18 walks.
• Bohm is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .194 with a double, a triple, three walks and four RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• The Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Reds have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz has put up a team-leading 18 home runs and has driven in 60 runs.
• De La Cruz's home run total places him 19th in the majors, and he ranks 11th in RBI.
• Friedl is hitting .283 to lead the lineup.
• Friedl is 142nd in homers and 137th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Spencer Steer has 14 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 23 walks while batting .256.
• Gavin Lux is hitting .269 with 16 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 36 walks.

Reds Team Props

Reds vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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