Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 16

Sandy Alcantara takes the mound for the Miami Marlins on Monday at loanDepot park against Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Marlins are listed as -106 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Phillies (-113). Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this matchup (with -106 odds to go over and -114 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, June 16, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Marlins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Marlins 48%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 58 times and won 37, or 63.8%, of those games.
• This season Philadelphia has won 34 of its 55 games, or 61.8%, when favored by at least -113 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 53.1%.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 59 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (39%) in those contests.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 22-34 when favored by -106 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 51.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 5-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Phillies' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies in home runs (22) and runs batted in (52).
• Among all MLB hitters, Schwarber is 99th in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
• Turner's .300 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Turner ranks 119th in homers in baseball, and 86th in RBI.
• Nick Castellanos has 17 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 16 walks while hitting .279.
• Alec Bohm has nine doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 13 walks while batting .283.

Phillies Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and have gone 4-4 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Otto Lopez is batting .237 with seven doubles, six home runs and 20 walks.
• Lopez ranks 148th in homers and 150th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Lopez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with a walk.
• Kyle Stowers has hit 10 home runs with 33 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Among all MLB hitters, Stowers ranks 57th in homers and 79th in RBI.
• Agustin Ramirez has 10 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Eric Wagaman has 14 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 16 walks while batting .249.

Marlins Team Props

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