Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 19

The Philadelphia Phillies and Bryce Harper head into the second of a three-game series against Otto Lopez and the Miami Marlins on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -220, while the underdog Marlins have +181 odds to upset. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 10.5-run total is set in the game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlines and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSFL

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Marlins 44%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won nine, or 60%, of the 15 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has been at least -220 moneyline favorites three times this season and won each of those games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 68.8% chance to win.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (35.3%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 1-4 when favored by +181 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 35.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-4 record over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies best power option, crushing seven home runs this season in addition to accumulating 15 RBI, both team highs.
• Of all batters in MLB, Schwarber's home run total places him third, and his RBI tally puts him 17th.
• Schwarber takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a home run, six walks and three RBI.
• Harper is batting .264 with two doubles, five home runs and 17 walks.
• Harper ranks 18th in home runs and 48th in RBI in the majors.
• Nicholas Alexander Castellanos has a team-best batting average of .319.
• Castellanos has at least one base hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Bryson Stott is batting .270 with three doubles, a triple, a home run and seven walks.
• Stott brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double, a triple, two walks and two RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Marlins are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Xavier Edwards leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .329.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Edwards ranks 253rd in homers and 139th in RBI.
• Edwards has collected a hit in 11 straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .400 with seven walks and four RBI.
• Lopez is batting .243 with five doubles, two home runs and nine walks.
• Lopez ranks 106th overall in homers and 92nd in RBI this season.
• Kyle Stowers is batting .288 with three doubles, a triple, a home run and nine walks.
• Eric Wagaman is hitting .260 with three doubles, two home runs and six walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlines and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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