Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 13

Jesus Sanchez and the Miami Marlins hit the field on Friday at Nationals Park against Mitchell Parker, who is projected to start for the Washington Nationals. First pitch will be at 6:45 p.m. ET for the first game of a three-game series. Bookmakers list the Nationals as -111 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins -109 moneyline odds to win. Miami is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total is listed in this matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Nationals-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, June 13, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN2 and FDSFL

Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Nationals 54%, Marlins 46%

Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Nationals have been favorites in eight games this season and won two (25%) of those contests.
• This season Washington has won two of its seven games when favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Nationals, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (36.8%) in those games.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 21 times in 56 chances when named as an underdog of at least -109 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have not been favored on the moneyline in the last 10 games.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Nationals combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total two times.
• The Nationals have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• James Wood leads the Nationals with 16 home runs and 45 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .281.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Wood is 11th in homers and 13th in RBI.
• Wood has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two walks.
• C.J. Abrams is batting .264 with 14 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 13 walks.
• Abrams ranks 70th in homers in MLB, and 158th in RBI.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .262 with 15 doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
• Garcia is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Nathaniel Lowe is batting .229 with 11 doubles, nine home runs and 23 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 2-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Marlins have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Otto Lopez has seven doubles, six home runs and 19 walks while batting .228.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Lopez ranks 138th in homers and 141st in RBI.
• Kyle Stowers' 10 home runs, 33 runs batted in and .272 batting average are all tops in the lineup.
• Stowers is 53rd in homers and 68th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Eric Wagaman is hitting .249 with 13 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 16 walks.
• Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .272.

Marlins Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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