Mets vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 15

The Tampa Bay Rays will look to Yandy Diaz for continued success at the plate when they square off against Juan Soto and the New York Mets on Sunday, in the final game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets are -157 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Rays (+131). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for the matchup (with -106 odds to hit the over and -115 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, June 15, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: WPIX and FDSSUN

Mets vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Rays 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 55%, Rays 45%

Mets vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 36, or 67.9%, of the 53 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has entered 28 games this season favored by -157 or more and is 20-8 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Rays have come away with 16 wins in the 32 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Tampa Bay has been victorious seven times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 43.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 6-2 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets in home runs (17), runs batted in (63) and has a team-best batting average of .297.
• Among all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 19th in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with two doubles, two walks and two RBIs.
• Soto is hitting .249 with 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 57 walks.
• Soto ranks 23rd in home runs and 56th in RBI in the majors.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .282 with 13 doubles, 14 home runs and 26 walks.
• Lindor is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with two doubles and three walks.
• Brandon Nimmo has 12 doubles, 13 home runs and 21 walks while hitting .244.

Mets Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rays are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Junior Caminero leads the Rays with 16 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 42.
• Among all batters in the majors, Caminero's home run total is 12th and his RBI tally ranks 25th.
• Diaz has 13 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 19 walks while batting .265.
• Among all major league hitters, Diaz ranks 58th in homers and 30th in RBI.
• Jonathan Aranda paces the Rays with a team-high batting average of .316.
• Brandon Lowe has nine doubles, 13 home runs and 18 walks while batting .257.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Mets!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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