Mets vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 14

Josh Smith and Francisco Lindor will hit the field when the Texas Rangers and New York Mets meet on Sunday at Citi Field. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -174, while the underdog Rangers have +145 odds to play spoiler. New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the matchup has been set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Rangers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, WPIX, and RSN

Mets vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Rangers 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 50%, Rangers 50%

Mets vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 58, or 55.8%, of the 104 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has a record of 24-13 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -174 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 63.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Rangers have been victorious in 30, or 40.5%, of the 74 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Texas has won all of its five games in which it was named as at least a +145 moneyline underdog.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 1-5 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 1-9-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has put up a team-high 40 home runs.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Soto's home run total places him seventh, and his RBI tally ranks him 11th.
• Lindor has 33 doubles, 26 home runs and 54 walks while batting .262.
• Lindor ranks 36th in home runs and 46th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Lindor enters this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .143 with a double.
• Pete Alonso has a team-high batting average of .267 and paces the Mets in runs batted in (114).
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .261 with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 48 walks.

Mets Team Props

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have a record of 5-2.
• The Rangers and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rangers are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Wyatt Langford has racked up a team-best 21 home runs.
• Langford is 61st in homers and 102nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Smith has a club-high .259 batting average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Smith is 213th in home runs and 242nd in RBI.
• Josh Jung is hitting .251 with 19 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 25 walks.
• Jake Burger has 15 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 12 walks while hitting .248.

Rangers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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