Mets vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 10

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets will play Ryan O'Hearn and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in the second of a three-game series, Thursday at 12:05 p.m. ET. The Orioles have been listed as +116 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Mets (-140). New York is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9.5-run total is set in the matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 10, 2025 at 12:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, MASN, and SNY

Mets vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Orioles 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 50%, Orioles 50%

Mets vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 64 times this season and won 42, or 65.6%, of those games.
• New York is 28-16 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Orioles have won in 18, or 42.9%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Baltimore has won seven of 19 games when listed as at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 46.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 3-4 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total nine times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has hit a team-high 21 home runs.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Soto's home run total places him 11th, and his RBI tally puts him 37th.
• Alonso has hit 21 home runs with 75 runs batted in while batting .290. Those stats are all team-highs.
• Alonso is 11th in home runs in MLB, and fourth in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .260 with 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks.
• Lindor will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .258 with 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 26 walks.

Mets Team Props

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 4-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Orioles have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• O'Hearn paces the Orioles with a team-high batting average of .286.
• Among all hitters in MLB, O'Hearn's home run total ranks 92nd and his RBI tally ranks 140th.
• Gunnar Henderson is hitting .270 with 17 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 31 walks.
• Henderson ranks 112th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 175th in RBI.
• Jackson Holliday has 13 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .263.
• Cedric Mullins has managed a team-leading 13 home runs and has driven in 41 runs.

Orioles Team Props

Mets vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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