Mets vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 15

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets will hit the field at Citi Field against the Seattle Mariners and Cal Raleigh on Friday. The Mets have been listed as -132 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Mariners (+111). New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +162 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -123 odds to go over and +102 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles.

Mets vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 15, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and ROOT Sports NW

Mets vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Mariners 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 51%, Mariners 49%

Mets vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 85 times and won 51, or 60%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 40-27, a 59.7% win rate, when favored by -132 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
• The Mariners have been underdogs in 37 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (51.4%) in those contests.
• This season, Seattle has been victorious 11 times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 1-6 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' record against the spread is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has hit a team-best 29 homers.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Soto is seventh in home runs and 27th in RBI.
• Soto carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .297 with four home runs, eight walks and six RBIs.
• Pete Alonso has a club-high 99 runs batted in and .272 batting average.
• Alonso is ninth in homers and first in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Alonso heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .476 with three doubles, three home runs and eight RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .249 with 23 doubles, 22 home runs and 41 walks.
• Lindor is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .251 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 41 walks.
• Nimmo brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double, a home run, three walks and four RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Mariners have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh has managed a team-leading 45 home runs and has driven in 98 runs.
• In all of the majors, Raleigh is first in homers and second in RBI.
• Josh Naylor has a club-best .292 batting average.
• Naylor ranks 92nd in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Julio Rodriguez is hitting .259 with 19 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 32 walks.
• Eugenio Suarez has 20 doubles, 37 home runs and 32 walks while batting .234.

Mariners Team Props

Mariners vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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