Mets vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

Mets vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

Updated Aug. 1, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the New York Mets play Rafael Devers and the San Francisco Giants at Citi Field on Friday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Mets are favored in this one, at -143, while the underdog Giants have +121 odds to upset. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +147 odds). An 8-run total has been listed in this game.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Giants game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Mets vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and San Diego Padres.

Mets vs. Giants Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, August 1, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and NBCS-BA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -143 +121 8 -109 -111 -1.5 +147 -177

Mets vs. Giants Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Giants 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Giants 46%

Mets vs. Giants Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in 76 games this season and won 49 (64.5%) of those contests.
  • New York has a record of 29-17 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have a 58.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Giants have been underdogs in 42 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (47.6%) in those contests.
  • This year, San Francisco has won six of 13 games when listed as at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets went 5-1 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 3.30
K/9 8.7

Mets Player Insights

  • Soto paces the Mets with 25 home runs.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Soto's home run total places him 10th, and his RBI tally ranks him 30th.
  • Pete Alonso has 81 runs batted in while hitting .259. Both pace his team.
  • Among all major league hitters, Alonso is 18th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor has 20 doubles, 20 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .246.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 21 doubles, 19 home runs and 33 walks while batting .258.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-165) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+150)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+170)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+215)
Francisco Alvarez - - - -
David Peterson - - - -

Giants Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Giants have a record of 2-3.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Giants and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Giants have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Giants Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 10
ERA 4.55
K/9 10

Giants Player Insights

  • Devers paces the Giants in home runs (19) and runs batted in (73).
  • Devers ranks 30th in homers and 11th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has 22 doubles, eight triples, six home runs and 37 walks while hitting .248.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Lee ranks 219th in home runs and 111th in RBI.
  • Willy Adames is hitting .238 with 18 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Heliot Ramos leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .267.

Giants Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Chapman 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+160)
Heliot Ramos 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+225)
Robbie Ray - - - -
Wilmer Flores 0.5 (-185) - - 0.5 (+220)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-185) - - 0.5 (+205)

Mets vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
share