
Mets vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1
Juan Soto and the New York Mets play Rafael Devers and the San Francisco Giants at Citi Field on Friday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Mets are favored in this one, at -143, while the underdog Giants have +121 odds to upset. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +147 odds). An 8-run total has been listed in this game.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Giants game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Mets vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX
Mets vs. Giants Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, August 1, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and NBCS-BA
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -143 | +121 | 8 | -109 | -111 | -1.5 | +147 | -177 |
Mets vs. Giants Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Giants 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Giants 46%
Mets vs. Giants Betting Insights
- The Mets have been favorites in 76 games this season and won 49 (64.5%) of those contests.
- New York has a record of 29-17 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
- The Mets have a 58.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Giants have been underdogs in 42 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (47.6%) in those contests.
- This year, San Francisco has won six of 13 games when listed as at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Giants have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets went 5-1 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.30 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Mets Player Insights
- Soto paces the Mets with 25 home runs.
- Of all batters in baseball, Soto's home run total places him 10th, and his RBI tally ranks him 30th.
- Pete Alonso has 81 runs batted in while hitting .259. Both pace his team.
- Among all major league hitters, Alonso is 18th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
- Francisco Lindor has 20 doubles, 20 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .246.
- Brandon Nimmo has 21 doubles, 19 home runs and 33 walks while batting .258.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-165) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+215) |
| Francisco Alvarez | - | - | - | - |
| David Peterson | - | - | - | - |
Giants Recent Betting Performance
- In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Giants have a record of 2-3.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Giants and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Giants have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Giants Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 10 |
Giants Player Insights
- Devers paces the Giants in home runs (19) and runs batted in (73).
- Devers ranks 30th in homers and 11th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
- Jung Hoo Lee has 22 doubles, eight triples, six home runs and 37 walks while hitting .248.
- Among all MLB hitters, Lee ranks 219th in home runs and 111th in RBI.
- Willy Adames is hitting .238 with 18 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 51 walks.
- Heliot Ramos leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .267.
Giants Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Heliot Ramos | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+225) |
| Robbie Ray | - | - | - | - |
| Wilmer Flores | 0.5 (-185) | - | - | 0.5 (+220) |
| Willy Adames | 0.5 (-185) | - | - | 0.5 (+205) |
Mets vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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