Mets vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 9

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets will try to get to Jameson Taillon when he takes the mound for the Chicago Cubs on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Cubs are listed as +120 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Mets (-142). New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The matchup's over/under has been set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Mets vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 9, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and MARQ

Mets vs. Cubs Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Cubs 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Cubs 48%

Mets vs. Cubs Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 19, or 67.9%, of the 28 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season New York has won 12 of its 18 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 58.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Cubs have come away with eight wins in the 16 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Chicago has a mark of 2-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 45.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 4-3 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Not only does Alonso lead the Mets in hitting with his .328 average, he also paces the squad with nine home runs and 34 RBI.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Alonso's home run total places him 10th, and his RBI tally puts him first.
• Juan Soto is batting .261 with nine doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks.
• Soto ranks 34th in home runs and 79th in RBI on the season.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .287 with seven doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .212 with six doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.

Mets Team Props

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Cubs have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker leads the Cubs with nine home runs and 31 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .284.
• Tucker ranks 10th in homers and sixth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has a team-best nine home runs.
• Crow-Armstrong is 10th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 14th in RBI.
• Ian Happ has nine doubles, three home runs and 23 walks while batting .274.
• Carson Kelly is hitting .348 with two doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 18 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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