Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 12

Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 12

Updated Aug. 12, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves will send Clay Holmes and Spencer Strider, respectively, to the mound when the two clubs square off on Tuesday at Citi Field, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Braves are listed as +119 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Mets (-142). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +147 odds). The total is 8 runs for this game.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to watch on TV: SNY and FDSSO
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -142 +119 8 -114 -106 -1.5 +147 -178

Mets vs. Braves Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Braves 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 55%, Braves 45%

Mets vs. Braves Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as favorites 82 times this season and won 50, or 61%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 31-22 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 58.7%.
  • The Braves have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (24.2%) in those contests.
  • Atlanta has a win-loss record of 1-8 when favored by +119 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 45.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and went 1-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mets combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Mets are 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 1-9
Runs Per Game 4
HR 12
ERA 5.01
K/9 8.5

Mets Player Insights

  • Juan Soto leads the Mets with 28 home runs.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Soto ranks seventh in home runs and 29th in RBI.
  • Soto carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .278 with three home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
  • Pete Alonso has 93 runs batted in while batting .264. Both are team-highs.
  • Alonso is 12th in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Alonso has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .211 with two doubles, a home run and three RBIs.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .243 with 22 doubles, 21 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .249 with 21 doubles, 19 home runs and 40 walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+145)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+170)
Jeff McNeil 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+210)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+200)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+185)

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Braves have a record of 3-4.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Braves and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Braves have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 16
ERA 3.94
K/9 6.7

Braves Player Insights

  • Matt Olson leads the Braves with 19 home runs and 70 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .262.
  • Olson's home run total places him 45th in MLB, and he ranks 23rd in RBI.
  • Olson carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBIs.
  • Marcell Ozuna's 19 home runs lead his team.
  • Ozuna is currently 45th in homers and 67th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .222 with 15 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 46 walks.
  • Michael Harris II is batting .241 with 19 doubles, six triples, 12 home runs and 13 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+165)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+190)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+235)
Drake Baldwin 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+185)
Spencer Strider - - - -

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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