
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 8
Otto Lopez and C.J. Abrams will be among the stars on display when the Miami Marlins face the Washington Nationals on Monday at 6:40 p.m. ET, at loanDepot park. The Nationals are +109 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Marlins (-130). Miami is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for this contest.
Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, September 8, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to watch on TV: FDSFL and MASN
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -130 | +109 | 8 | -115 | -105 | -1.5 | +161 | -195 |
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Nationals 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Marlins 55%, Nationals 45%
Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have won 10 out of the 23 games, or 43.5%, in which they've been favored.
- Miami is 2-11 this season when entering a game favored by -130 or more on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 56.5% chance to win.
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 123 games this year and have walked away with the win 52 times (42.3%) in those games.
- This year, Washington has won 44 of 102 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- In the last 10 games, the Marlins have been named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just one time, a game they lost.
- In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
- The Marlins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 6.70 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Lopez is hitting .248 with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
- Lopez's home runs rank him 137th in MLB, and he ranks 60th in RBI.
- Xavier Edwards has 20 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 43 walks while hitting .279.
- Edwards ranks 388th in homers and 229th in RBI in the majors.
- Agustin Ramirez has 28 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .228.
- Ramirez will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .158 with two walks.
- Eric Wagaman is batting .240 with 25 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 32 walks.
- Wagaman brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .308 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Jakob Marsee | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Agustin Ramirez | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Xavier Edwards | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Otto Lopez | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
Nationals Recent Betting Performance
- In eight games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Nationals had a record of 3-5.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
- The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Nationals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Nationals Player Insights
- Abrams leads the team in batting average with a mark of .265.
- Abrams' home run total places him 95th in the big leagues, and he is 133rd in RBI.
- Abrams has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with two doubles.
- James Wood has hit 27 home runs with 86 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
- Wood is 25th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 21st in RBI.
- Luis Garcia is hitting .261 with 27 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks.
- Josh Bell has 13 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 54 walks while hitting .225.
Nationals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| James Wood | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| C.J. Abrams | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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