Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 14

Logan Evans takes the mound for the Seattle Mariners on Thursday against Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 1:05 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Bookmakers list the Mariners as -129 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Orioles +109 moneyline odds to win. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +123 odds). The total for the contest is set at 9.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and the Baltimore Orioles.

Mariners vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, August 14, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, MASN2, and ROOT Sports NW

Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Orioles 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 51%, Orioles 49%

Mariners vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 83 times this season and won 47, or 56.6%, of those games.
• Seattle has a record of 37-24, a 60.7% win rate, when favored by -129 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
• The Orioles have been underdogs in 61 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (44.3%) in those contests.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 15 times in 36 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners have a 7-2 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Mariners have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh is the Mariners best power hitter, connecting on 45 homers this season in addition to collecting 98 RBI, both team highs.
• Including all MLB batters, Raleigh ranks 117th in batting average, 44th in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
• Josh Naylor's .291 batting average leads his team.
• Naylor is 92nd in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Naylor carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Julio Rodriguez is hitting .258 with 19 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 32 walks.
• Rodriguez has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a triple, two home runs, a walk and three RBIs.
• Eugenio Suarez is batting .234 with 20 doubles, 37 home runs and 32 walks.

Mariners Team Props

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 2-7-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Orioles have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Henderson paces the Orioles in home runs (14), runs batted in (50) and has posted a team-high batting average of .284.
• Henderson is 99th in homers and 103rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Henderson brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .294 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBIs.
• Jackson Holliday has put up a team-best 14 home runs.
• Holliday ranks 99th overall in homers and 129th in RBI this year.
• Adley Rutschman is hitting .232 with 16 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 37 walks.
• Jordan Westburg has hit a team-best 14 home runs.

Orioles Team Props

Mariners vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and the Baltimore Orioles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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