Mariners vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Josh Naylor and the Seattle Mariners will take on the New York Mets and Pete Alonso on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET, at Citi Field. The Mariners are listed as -114 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Mets (-105). Seattle is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -112 odds to hit the over and -108 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Mariners vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles.

Mariners vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 16, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: WPIX and ROOT Sports NW

Mariners vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Mets 48%

Mariners vs. Mets Betting Insights

• The Mariners have won 47, or 56%, of the 84 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Seattle has entered 79 games this season favored by -114 or more and is 44-35 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 53.3% chance to win.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (36.1%) in those games.
• New York has a win-loss record of 12-21 when favored by -105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners have a 7-2 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Mariners have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• The Mariners' best power option comes in the form of Cal Raleigh and his 46-homer 100-RBI season, both team highs.
• Raleigh is first in homers and second in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Naylor is batting .292 to pace his team.
• Naylor is 92nd in homers in the majors, and 28th in RBI.
• Naylor has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Julio Rodriguez is batting .259 with 21 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 32 walks.
• Rodriguez will look to build on his six-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .341 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs, two walks and 10 RBIs.
• Eugenio Suarez is hitting .235 with 21 doubles, 37 home runs and 32 walks.
• Suarez has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a double, a walk and three RBIs.

Mariners Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 0-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mets are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has swatted a team-leading 30 home runs.
• In all of the big leagues, Soto is seventh in home runs and 26th in RBI.
• Soto carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .297 with five home runs, nine walks and seven RBIs.
• Alonso's 99 runs batted in and .269 batting average both pace his team.
• Alonso is ninth in homers and third in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .253 with 23 doubles, 24 home runs and 41 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .251 with 23 doubles, 20 home runs and 41 walks.

Mets Team Props

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Mets

Seattle Mariners