
Mariners vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 25
Cal Raleigh and the Seattle Mariners take on Matt Mervis and the Miami Marlins at T-Mobile Park on Friday at 9:40 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Marlins have been listed as +252 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Mariners (-315). Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run total has been listed in the game.
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Mariners vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, April 25, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
- How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and FDSFL
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -315 | +252 | 7.5 | -103 | -117 | -1.5 | -140 | +118 |
Mariners vs. Marlins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mariners 4, Marlins 3
- Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mariners 57%, Marlins 43%
Mariners vs. Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won eight out of the 14 games, or 57.1%, in which they've been favored.
- Seattle has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -315 odds on them winning this game.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 75.9% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (40.9%) in those games.
- Miami has played as an underdog of +252 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 28.4% chance of walking away with the win.
Mariners Recent Betting Performance
- The Mariners were favored on the moneyline in five of their last 10 games, and they went 4-1 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Mariners have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Mariners Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Mariners Player Insights
- Raleigh's nine home runs in 2025 are the most on the Mariners. He's also knocked in 16 runs while hitting .222.
- Among all hitters in baseball, Raleigh's home run total places him first, and his RBI tally puts him 25th.
- Randy Arozarena's 17 runs batted in pace his team.
- Arozarena ranks 49th in homers and 22nd in RBI in the majors.
- Julio Rodriguez is hitting .202 with three doubles, two triples, three home runs and 13 walks.
- Rodriguez will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.
- Dylan Moore is batting .288 with a double, five home runs and seven walks.
Mariners Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+125) |
| Julio Rodríguez | 1.5 (+200) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-150) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Miles Mastrobuoni | 0.5 (-155) | 0.5 (-160) | - | 0.5 (+260) |
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 4-6.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
- The Marlins are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 6.07 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Otto Lopez is batting .225 with five doubles, two home runs and nine walks, while getting on base at a rate of .296.
- Lopez's home run total puts him 131st in MLB, and he ranks 114th in RBI.
- Eric Wagaman is hitting .274 with five doubles, three home runs and six walks.
- Wagaman is currently 88th in homers and 183rd in RBI in the major leagues.
- Xavier Edwards is batting .283 with three doubles and 12 walks.
- The Marlins are led in runs batted in by Kyle Stowers with a mark of 15, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .291.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+310) |
| Matt Mervis | 0.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+250) |
| Liam Hicks | 0.5 (-135) | 0.5 (-140) | - | 0.5 (+360) |
| Kyle Stowers | 0.5 (-110) | 0.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+260) |
| Jesus Sanchez | 0.5 (-180) | 0.5 (-180) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
Reds vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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