
Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 29
The Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians will send George Kirby and Logan Allen, respectively, to the mound when the two squads play on Friday at Progressive Field, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Guardians have been listed as +135 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Mariners (-161). Seattle is a 1.5-run favorite (at +110 odds). The over/under for the contest is listed at 8 runs.
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Rays vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
Mariners vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, August 29, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: MLB Network, CLEG, and ROOT Sports NW
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -161 | +135 | 8 | +100 | -120 | -1.5 | +110 | -131 |
Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 6, Mariners 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mariners 50%, Guardians 50%
Mariners vs. Guardians Betting Insights
- The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 92 times this season and won 51, or 55.4%, of those games.
- Seattle has entered 28 games this season favored by -161 or more and is 18-10 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 61.7% chance to win.
- The Guardians have won in 31, or 43.1%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cleveland has a mark of 8-14 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +135 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Mariners Recent Betting Performance
- The Mariners played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 4-3 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
- The Mariners' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.
Mariners Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.90 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Mariners Player Insights
- Cal Raleigh is the Mariners best power option, crushing 50 long balls this season in addition to collecting 107 RBI, both team highs.
- Raleigh's home runs put him first in MLB, and he is third in RBI.
- Julio Rodriguez is hitting .263 with 24 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 34 walks.
- Rodriguez is 30th in homers and 38th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Rodriguez carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two walks and two RBIs.
- Josh Naylor has a team-high batting average of .286.
- Naylor will look to build on his six-game hitting in this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.
- Eugenio Suarez is hitting .237 with 23 doubles, 42 home runs and 37 walks.
- Suarez has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two home runs, five walks and six RBIs.
Mariners Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Eugenio Suárez | 0.5 (-180) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+130) |
| Julio Rodríguez | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Victor Robles | - | - | - | - |
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 2-5.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 3-5-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Guardians have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.4 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 26 home runs and 68 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .284.
- In all of the big leagues, Ramirez ranks 22nd in home runs and 53rd in RBI.
- Steven Kwan has 22 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 45 walks while batting .271.
- Kwan is currently 178th in home runs and 184th in RBI in the major leagues.
- Kyle Manzardo has 14 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 40 walks while batting .231.
- Angel Martinez is batting .225 with 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 16 walks.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+280) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-255) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Logan Allen | - | - | - | - |
| Angel Martinez | - | - | - | - |
| Nolan Jones | 0.5 (-125) | - | - | 0.5 (+295) |
Rays vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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