
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10
Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians will hit the field at Progressive Field against the Kansas City Royals and Bobby Witt Jr. on Wednesday. The favored Guardians have -111 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Royals, who are listed at -108. Kansas City is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for this matchup.
Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Royals vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
Guardians vs. Royals Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, September 10, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: CLEG and FDSKC
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -111 | -108 | 8 | -111 | -109 | -1.5 | -193 | +158 |
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Royals 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Royals 48%
Guardians vs. Royals Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been favorites in 59 games this season and won 36 (61%) of those contests.
- This season Cleveland has won 36 of its 57 games, or 63.2%, when favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
- The Royals have come away with 37 wins in the 81 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Kansas City has won 36 of 79 games when listed as at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 51.9% chance of pulling out a win.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- In the last 10 games, the Guardians were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just twice, and they won both games.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the total four times.
- The Guardians are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.21 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Not only does Jose Ramirez lead the Guardians in hitting with his .287 average, he also is their premier power option with 28 home runs and 76 RBI.
- In all of MLB, Ramirez ranks 21st in home runs and 45th in RBI.
- Ramirez carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .308 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, two walks and eight RBIs.
- Steven Kwan is batting .275 with 25 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 50 walks.
- Kwan ranks 186th in homers and 161st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Kyle Manzardo is batting .239 with 15 doubles, two triples, 25 home runs and 45 walks.
- Manzardo has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .375 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBIs.
- Angel Martinez has 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 17 walks while hitting .227.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 (-259) | 1.5 (+124) | - | 0.5 (+245) |
| Kyle Manzardo | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+133) | - | 0.5 (+161) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-261) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+149) |
| Nolan Jones | - | - | - | - |
| Logan Allen | - | - | - | - |
Royals Recent Betting Performance
- In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 2-3.
- The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Royals have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Royals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.78 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Royals Player Insights
- Bobby Witt Jr. leads the team in batting average with a mark of .293.
- Among all batters in MLB, Witt's home run total ranks 60th and his RBI tally is 41st.
- Maikel Garcia has 35 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 54 walks while batting .290.
- Garcia is currently 109th in homers and 71st in RBI in the big leagues.
- Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Royals in home runs (29) and runs batted in (99).
- Salvador Perez is hitting .235 with 33 doubles, 25 home runs and 23 walks.
Royals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 (-228) | 1.5 (+127) | - | 0.5 (+161) |
| Salvador Pérez | 0.5 (-239) | 1.5 (+118) | - | 0.5 (+148) |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 (-199) | 1.5 (+131) | - | 0.5 (+174) |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 (-249) | 1.5 (+129) | - | 0.5 (+250) |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (-104) | - | 0.5 (+167) |
Royals vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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