
Guardians vs. Rockies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28
Slade Cecconi and Bradley Blalock are the projected starters when the Cleveland Guardians and Colorado Rockies play on Monday at Progressive Field. The Rockies have been listed as +223 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Guardians (-277). Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at -134 odds). A 9-run total has been listed for the game.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Rockies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Guardians vs. Rockies Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, July 28, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: CLEG and COLR
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -277 | +223 | 9 | -100 | -121 | -1.5 | -134 | +112 |
Guardians vs. Rockies Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rockies 3
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 61%, Rockies 39%
Guardians vs. Rockies Betting Insights
- The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 41 times this season and won 25, or 61%, of those games.
- Cleveland has not been bigger favorites this season than the -277 moneyline set for this game.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 73.5% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- The Rockies have come away with 26 wins in the 101 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Colorado has been victorious six times in 39 chances when named as an underdog of at least +223 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 31% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians have a 4-2 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
- The Guardians have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians in home runs (21), runs batted in (56) and has put up a team-best batting average of .298.
- In all of MLB, Ramirez ranks 18th in home runs and 49th in RBI.
- Ramirez takes a hitting streak of seven games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .324 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, seven walks and six RBIs.
- Steven Kwan has 20 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 39 walks while hitting .285.
- Kwan ranks 148th in home runs and 151st in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
- Kwan enters this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .300 with three home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
- Carlos Santana has seven doubles, 11 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .223.
- Kyle Manzardo is batting .228 with 13 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 30 walks.
- Manzardo has recorded at least one hit in six straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .324 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and 10 RBIs.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Jones | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Daniel Schneemann | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Kyle Manzardo | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (-115) | - | 0.5 (+105) |
Rockies Recent Betting Performance
- In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rockies have a record of 5-5.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Rockies and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Rockies have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Rockies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.79 |
| K/9 | 6.1 |
Rockies Player Insights
- Hunter Goodman paces the Rockies with 18 home runs and 57 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .281.
- Among all batters in the majors, Goodman's home run total ranks 37th and his RBI tally ranks 45th.
- Mickey Moniak has 11 doubles, six triples, 16 home runs and 18 walks while batting .273.
- Moniak is currently 54th in homers and 129th in RBI in the big leagues.
- Jordan Beck is hitting .272 with 19 doubles, five triples, 11 home runs and 25 walks.
- Tyler Freeman is hitting .302 with 14 doubles, a triple, a home run and 22 walks.
Rockies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+280) |
| Mickey Moniak | 0.5 (-180) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Hunter Goodman | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Yanquiel Fernandez | - | - | - | - |
| Mike Toglia | - | - | - | - |
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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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