Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 6

Geraldo Perdomo and the Arizona Diamondbacks square off against Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets on Tuesday at 9:40 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Diamondbacks as -114 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets -105 moneyline odds to win. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +148 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 6, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, ARID, and SNY

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Mets 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 51%, Mets 49%

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 23 times and won 12, or 52.2%, of those games.
• Arizona is 11-11 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
• The Mets have come away with five wins in the nine contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• New York has a mark of 5-3 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have a 1-2 record from the three games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Diamondbacks' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Perdomo is the Diamondbacks RBI leader this season, knocking in 29 runs to go with his five home runs and .293 batting average.
• Including all MLB hitters, Perdomo ranks 27th in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and 42nd in slugging.
• Perdomo carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .444 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBIs.
• Corbin Carroll's 10 home runs are a team-high mark.
• Carroll ranks fourth in home runs in MLB, and ninth in RBI.
• Carroll enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Josh Naylor paces the Diamondbacks with a team-best batting average of .310.
• Naylor is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, two walks and two RBIs.
• Eugenio Suarez's 10 home runs lead his team.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Mets have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Mets have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso leads the Mets with nine home runs and 33 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .349.
• Alonso ranks eighth in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBIs.
• Juan Soto has nine doubles, five home runs and 27 walks while hitting .258.
• Soto is currently 59th in home runs and 108th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .289 with five doubles, seven home runs and 11 walks.
• Nimmo has five doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks while batting .217.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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