Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 12

Colin Rea takes the mound for the Chicago Cubs on Monday at Wrigley Field against Kyle Stowers and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. The favored Cubs have -259 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +210. Chicago is a 1.5-run favorite (at -125 odds). The matchup's total is set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Cubs vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, May 12, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to watch on TV: MARQ and FDSFL

Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 7, Marlins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Cubs 59%, Marlins 41%

Cubs vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Cubs have been favorites in 22 games this season and won 14 (63.6%) of those contests.
• Chicago has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -259.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 72.1% chance to win.
• The Marlins have come away with 11 wins in the 33 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Miami has won three of seven games when listed as at least +210 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 32.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs have a 3-3 record across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Cubs have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker has accumulated a team-best 10 home runs and 32 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Tucker's home run total ranks him seventh, and his RBI tally ranks him seventh.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong's 10 home runs lead his team.
• Crow-Armstrong ranks seventh in homers and 15th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Crow-Armstrong has four straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Ian Happ is batting .269 with nine doubles, three home runs and 24 walks.
• Carson Kelly is batting .315 with two doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 18 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 1-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Marlins have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Stowers leads the Marlins with seven home runs and 26 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .287.
• In all of the big leagues, Stowers is 40th in home runs and 20th in RBI.
• Xavier Edwards is hitting .259 with three doubles, a triple and 19 walks.
• Edwards is 324th in home runs and 200th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Eric Wagaman is batting .238 with eight doubles, a triple, three home runs and nine walks.
• Liam Hicks is hitting .254 with three doubles, three home runs and seven walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. White Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

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