Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Andrew Heaney takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday at American Family Field against Isaac Collins and the Milwaukee Brewers. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Brewers are -211 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Pirates (+174). Milwaukee is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -108 odds). A 9-run over/under is set for the contest.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers.

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, August 11, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSWI, and SportsNet PT

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 60%, Pirates 40%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 61 times this season and won 42, or 68.9%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has a record of 7-2, a 77.8% win rate, when favored by -211 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 67.8%.
• The Pirates have won in 34, or 42%, of the 81 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 5-8 when favored by +174 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 36.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 8-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the total eight times.
• The Brewers' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• William Contreras is hitting .255 with 20 doubles, 12 home runs and 64 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Contreras ranks 88th in batting average, 35th in on-base percentage, and 126th in slugging.
• Contreras carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .211 with three home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
• Brice Turang is hitting .278 with 21 doubles, 10 home runs and 44 walks.
• Turang ranks 151st in home runs and 74th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Christian Yelich has racked up a team-high 21 home runs and 74 runs batted in.
• Sal Frelick's .291 batting average paces his team.

Brewers Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has put up a team-best 18 home runs.
• Cruz's home run total puts him 52nd in the big leagues, and he is 86th in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 56 runs batted in.
• Among all major league batters, Reynolds is 136th in home runs and 66th in RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen has 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 47 walks while batting .247.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa paces the Pirates with a team-high batting average of .273.

Pirates Team Props

Mets vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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