Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 3

Brewers vs. Mets NL Wild Card Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 3

Updated Oct. 3, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

The NL Wild Card Series culminates on Thursday at 7:08 p.m. ET when the Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets live on ESPN from American Family Field. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to advance to the NLDS. Oddsmakers list the Brewers as -127 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets +107 moneyline odds to win. Milwaukee is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +167 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks game on September 13th, 2024.
ADVERTISEMENT

Brewers vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, October 3, 2024 at 7:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers -127 +107 7.5 +102 -123 -1.5 +167 -201

Brewers vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Brewers 54%, Mets 46%

Brewers vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have won 55, or 59.1%, of the 93 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Milwaukee has won 36 of its 60 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • The Mets have come away with 29 wins in the 65 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, New York has been victorious 21 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 48.3% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
NYM 4 · MIL 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers were favored on the moneyline for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Brewers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 6
ERA 3.64
K/9 9

Brewers Player Insights

  • William Contreras paces the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .281.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Contreras ranks 22nd in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and 32nd in slugging.
  • Contreras takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .188 with three walks and two RBI.
  • Willy Adames' 32 home runs and 112 runs batted in both pace his team.
  • Adames ranks 16th in home runs and fourth in RBI on the year.
  • Jackson Chourio is batting .275 with 29 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks.
  • Chourio will look to build on his six-game hitting in this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .361 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
  • Brice Turang is batting .254 with 24 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 50 walks.
  • Turang has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .476 with four doubles, a walk and three RBI.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Chourio 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+200)
William Contreras 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+165)
Gary Sánchez 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+185)
Rhys Hoskins 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+190)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 3-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Mets are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 4.13
K/9 10.2

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor has a team-leading batting average of .273 while leading the Mets in runs batted in with a mark of 91.
  • Lindor ranks 14th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Pete Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 34 home runs.
  • Alonso is 12th in homers and 29th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while hitting .224.
  • Jesse Winker is hitting .253 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)
José Iglesias 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+240)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+190)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+175)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-160) - 0.5 (+205)

Francisco Lindor smashes his SECOND home run of the game to extend Mets' lead over Padres

Francisco Lindor smashed his second home run of the game to extend the New York Mets' lead over the San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
share