Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 25

Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 25

Updated May. 25, 2025 4:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Spencer Schwellenbach gets the nod for the Atlanta Braves on Sunday at Truist Park against Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Braves have been listed as -154 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Padres (+130). Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for this game (with -110 odds to hit the over and -110 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Atlanta Braves.

Braves vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, May 25, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSO and SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -154 +130 8 -110 -110 -1.5 +142 -170

Braves vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Padres 47%

Braves vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Braves have won 21, or 53.8%, of the 39 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Atlanta is 13-8 this season when entering a game favored by -154 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Padres have been underdogs in 22 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (50%) in those contests.
  • San Diego has a mark of 2-6 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +130 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves went 4-4 across the eight games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
  • The Braves' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 13
ERA 3.47
K/9 6.3

Braves Player Insights

  • Matt Olson leads the Braves with 12 dingers on the year. He's also hitting .243 with 29 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Olson's home run total ranks him 13th, and his RBI tally puts him 41st.
  • Marcell Ozuna's .273 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Ozuna ranks 36th in home runs in MLB, and 82nd in RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies has six doubles, five home runs and 16 walks while hitting .232.
  • Albies has at least one base hit in 10 games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, three walks and three RBIs.
  • Austin Riley has a club-best .273 batting average.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ronald Acuna 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+195)
Austin Riley 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+165)
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+235)
Nick Allen 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+330)
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) - 0.5 (+200)

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.3
HR 8
ERA 4.29
K/9 9.2

Padres Player Insights

  • Tatis has swatted a team-high 12 home runs.
  • In all of the majors, Tatis ranks 13th in homers and 56th in RBI.
  • Manny Machado has a club-best .317 batting average.
  • Machado ranks 151st in home runs and 99th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Luis Arraez is batting .291 with eight doubles, three triples, three home runs and nine walks.
  • Gavin Sheets has a team-best 29 runs batted in.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+180)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+230)
Jackson Merrill 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+140)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+205)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+270)

Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Atlanta Braves.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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