
Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 25
Spencer Schwellenbach gets the nod for the Atlanta Braves on Sunday at Truist Park against Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Braves have been listed as -154 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Padres (+130). Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for this game (with -110 odds to hit the over and -110 odds to go under).
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX
Braves vs. Padres Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, May 25, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to watch on TV: FDSSO and SDPA
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -154 | +130 | 8 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 | +142 | -170 |
Braves vs. Padres Prediction
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Padres 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Padres 47%
Braves vs. Padres Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 21, or 53.8%, of the 39 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta is 13-8 this season when entering a game favored by -154 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- The Padres have been underdogs in 22 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (50%) in those contests.
- San Diego has a mark of 2-6 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves went 4-4 across the eight games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
- The Braves' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.47 |
| K/9 | 6.3 |
Braves Player Insights
- Matt Olson leads the Braves with 12 dingers on the year. He's also hitting .243 with 29 RBI.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Olson's home run total ranks him 13th, and his RBI tally puts him 41st.
- Marcell Ozuna's .273 batting average is a team-high mark.
- Ozuna ranks 36th in home runs in MLB, and 82nd in RBI.
- Ozzie Albies has six doubles, five home runs and 16 walks while hitting .232.
- Albies has at least one base hit in 10 games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, three walks and three RBIs.
- Austin Riley has a club-best .273 batting average.
Braves Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 (-185) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Ozzie Albies | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-150) | - | 0.5 (+235) |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 (-125) | 0.5 (-125) | - | 0.5 (+330) |
| Michael Harris II | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (-185) | - | 0.5 (+200) |
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Padres have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.3 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.29 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Padres Player Insights
- Tatis has swatted a team-high 12 home runs.
- In all of the majors, Tatis ranks 13th in homers and 56th in RBI.
- Manny Machado has a club-best .317 batting average.
- Machado ranks 151st in home runs and 99th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
- Luis Arraez is batting .291 with eight doubles, three triples, three home runs and nine walks.
- Gavin Sheets has a team-best 29 runs batted in.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 (-160) | 0.5 (-165) | - | 0.5 (+270) |
Padres vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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