Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Chris Bassitt starts for the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 6:35 p.m. ET for the first game of a four-game series. The Orioles are listed as -105 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Blue Jays (-114). Toronto is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +140 odds). A 9.5-run total has been set in this contest.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Blue Jays vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 28, 2025 at 6:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to watch on TV: MASN and SNET

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Orioles 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 52%, Orioles 48%

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have been favorites in 45 games this season and won 27 (60%) of those contests.
• Toronto is 24-17 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
• The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 51 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (43.1%) in those games.
• Baltimore has a mark of 21-27 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays were the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Blue Jays have gone 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 62 walks while hitting .292.
• Guerrero's home runs put him 75th in the majors, and he is 56th in RBI.
• Guerrero takes a hitting streak of nine games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .425 with four doubles, two home runs, six walks and eight RBIs.
• George Springer has hit 18 home runs to pace his team.
• Springer is 37th in homers and 45th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Springer enters this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .463 with two doubles, two home runs, six walks and four RBIs.
• Bo Bichette has racked up a team-high 65 runs batted in.
• Bichette is on a nine-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .349 with seven doubles, a home run, a walk and 12 RBIs.
• Ernie Clement has 20 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 20 walks while batting .275.

Blue Jays Team Props

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Orioles have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Henderson paces the Orioles with a .282 batting average.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Henderson's home run total is 115th and his RBI tally ranks 142nd.
• Ryan O'Hearn has a club-leading .282 batting average.
• O'Hearn is currently 104th in homers and 135th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Jackson Holliday leads the Orioles with 14 long balls.
• Cedric Mullins paces the Orioles in home runs (14) and runs batted in (45).

Orioles Team Props

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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